Pendulum – Australia 2022

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates to be contested at the 2022 federal election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin.

Coalition SeatsLabor Seats
SeatMarginSeatMargin
Bass (TAS)LIB 0.4%Macquarie (NSW)ALP 0.2%
Chisholm (VIC)LIB 0.5%Lilley (QLD)ALP 0.6%
Wentworth (NSW)LIB 1.3% vs INDEden-Monaro (NSW)ALP 0.8%
Boothby (SA)LIB 1.4%Cowan (WA)ALP 0.9%
Braddon (TAS)LIB 3.1%Corangamite (VIC)ALP 1.0%
Reid (NSW)LIB 3.2%Blair (QLD)ALP 1.2%
Swan (WA)LIB 3.2%Dobell (NSW)ALP 1.5%
Longman (QLD)LNP 3.3%Moreton (QLD)ALP 1.9%
Higgins (VIC)LIB 3.7%Gilmore (NSW)ALP 2.6%
Leichhardt (QLD)LNP 4.2%Dunkley (VIC)ALP 2.7%
Robertson (NSW)LIB 4.2%Greenway (NSW)ALP 2.8%
Casey (VIC)LIB 4.6%Griffith (QLD)ALP 2.9%
Dickson (QLD)LNP 4.6%Hunter (NSW)ALP 3.0%
Deakin (VIC)LIB 4.7%Solomon (NT)ALP 3.1%
Brisbane (QLD)LNP 4.9%Perth (WA)ALP 3.2%
Lindsay (NSW)LIB 5.0%Parramatta (NSW)ALP 3.5%
Pearce (WA)LIB 5.2%Richmond (NSW)ALP 4.1%
La Trobe (VIC)LIB 5.4%Shortland (NSW)ALP 4.5%
Kooyong (VIC)LIB 5.5% vs GRNPaterson (NSW)ALP 5.0%
Flinders (VIC)LIB 5.6%Lyons (TAS)ALP 5.2%
Hasluck (WA)LIB 5.9%McEwen (VIC)ALP 5.3%
Ryan (QLD)LNP 6.0%Lingiari (NT)ALP 5.5%
Banks (NSW)LIB 6.3%Werriwa (NSW)ALP 5.5%
Cowper (NSW)NAT 6.8% vs INDBurt (WA)ALP 5.5%
Monash (VIC)LIB 6.9%Jagajaga (VIC)ALP 5.9%
Sturt (SA)LIB 6.9%Macnamara (VIC)ALP 6.1%
Bennelong (NSW)LIB 6.9%Oxley (QLD)ALP 6.4%
Menzies (VIC)LIB 7.0%Isaacs (VIC)ALP 6.4%
Bonner (QLD)LNP 7.4%Rankin (QLD)ALP 6.4%
Goldstein (VIC)LIB 7.8%Hindmarsh (SA)ALP 6.5%
Herbert (QLD)LNP 8.4%McMahon (NSW)ALP 6.6%
Petrie (QLD)LNP 8.4%Brand (WA)ALP 6.7%
Forde (QLD)LNP 8.6%Fremantle (WA)ALP 6.9%
Flynn (QLD)LNP 8.7%Bruce (VIC)ALP 7.3%
North Sydney (NSW)LIB 9.3%Bean (ACT)ALP 7.5%
Page (NSW)NAT 9.5%Adelaide (SA)ALP 8.2%
Tangney (WA)LIB 9.5%Macarthur (NSW)ALP 8.4%
Hughes (NSW)LIB 9.9%Wills (VIC)ALP 8.5% vs GRN
Aston (VIC)LIB 10.1%Kingsford Smith (NSW)ALP 8.8%
Wannon (VIC)LIB 10.2%Bendigo (VIC)ALP 8.9%
Bowman (QLD)LNP 10.2%Holt (VIC)ALP 8.9%
Farrer (NSW)LIB 10.9% vs INDBarton (NSW)ALP 9.4%
Canning (WA)LIB 11.6%Makin (SA)ALP 9.7%
Moore (WA)LIB 11.6%Hawke (VIC)ALP 10.2%
McPherson (QLD)LNP 12.2%Ballarat (VIC)ALP 10.3%
Capricornia (QLD)LNP 12.4%Maribyrnong (VIC)ALP 10.3%
Fisher (QLD)LNP 12.7%Corio (VIC)ALP 10.3%
Hume (NSW)LIB 13.0%Fenner (ACT)ALP 10.6%
Wide Bay (QLD)LNP 13.1%Whitlam (NSW)ALP 10.9%
Mackellar (NSW)LIB 13.2%Hotham (VIC)ALP 11.2%
Calare (NSW)NAT 13.3%Kingston (SA)ALP 11.9%
Grey (SA)LIB 13.3%Franklin (TAS)ALP 12.2%
Fairfax (QLD)LNP 13.4%Chifley (NSW)ALP 12.4%
Durack (WA)LIB 13.5%Lalor (VIC)ALP 12.4%
Curtin (WA)LIB 13.9%Gellibrand (VIC)ALP 13.0%
Fadden (QLD)LNP 14.2%Cunningham (NSW)ALP 13.4%
New England (NSW)NAT 14.4% vs INDWatson (NSW)ALP 13.5%
Hinkler (QLD)LNP 14.5%Newcastle (NSW)ALP 13.8%
Forrest (WA)LIB 14.6%Fowler (NSW)ALP 14.0%
Wright (QLD)LNP 14.6%Spence (SA)ALP 14.1%
Dawson (QLD)LNP 14.6%Gorton (VIC)ALP 14.3%
Lyne (NSW)NAT 15.2%Blaxland (NSW)ALP 14.7%
Moncrieff (QLD)LNP 15.4%Cooper (VIC)ALP 14.8% vs GRN
O’Connor (WA)LIB 15.4%Grayndler (NSW)ALP 16.3% vs GRN
Berowra (NSW)LIB 15.7%Canberra (ACT)ALP 17.1%
Mallee (VIC)NAT 15.7%Fraser (VIC)ALP 18.1%
Bradfield (NSW)LIB 16.6%Sydney (NSW)ALP 18.7%
Gippsland (VIC)NAT 16.7%Calwell (VIC)ALP 19.6%
Parkes (NSW)NAT 16.9%Scullin (VIC)ALP 21.7%
Mitchell (NSW)LIB 18.6%
Barker (SA)LIB 18.9%Indi (VIC)IND 1.4% vs LIB
Cook (NSW)LIB 19.0%Mayo (SA)CA 5.1% vs LIB
Riverina (NSW)NAT 19.5%Warringah (NSW)IND 7.2% vs LIB
Nicholls (VIC)NAT 20.0%Kennedy (Qld)KAP 13.3% vs LNP
Groom (QLD)LNP 20.5%Melbourne (VIC)GRN 21.8% vs LIB
Maranoa (QLD)LNP 22.5% vs ONClark (TAS)IND 22.1% vs ALP