Unfortunately Wilkie holds unless he retires. Would love for him to go as I am ot impressed with his defence of Julian Assange at all. Labor has a better chance at winning this than Melbourne though as Wilkie is an independent and his votes will flow back to the Labor when he’s gone unlike in Melbourne where the Greens are strong there anyway. My question is why do independents in Sydney struggle to win reelection but Wilkie has an easy time winning in Hobart? Ted Mack almost lost his seat in 1993 and Phelps lost in 2019 and Steggal may yet face a tough challenge. Less urban?