Federal redistributions finalised

The Australian Electoral Commission this afternoon published the maps and data for the final redistribution of Western Australia's federal electoral boundaries. This follows the same publication for the Victorian redistribution last Monday.The actual announcements for these redistributions were made previously, but we did not...

More samples from the federal election guide

As the lockdown in Sydney drags on, I've decided to release a few more profiles from my guide to the next federal election. This is on top of the other five that I released a few weeks ago.The three seats I'm releasing today are...

Victorian state redistribution – margin estimates

I will firstly acknowledge that I am very late in publishing these figures. I've just finished moving house during the first two weeks of lockdown and it has pushed back my timelines.Anyway, this post contains my estimates of the two-candidate-preferred margins, the primary vote...

Stretton by-election guide

There is a by-election coming up this Saturday in the Queensland state seat of Stretton, following the death of Labor MP Duncan Pegg in early June.The seat covers the southern fringe of the City of Brisbane, close to the border with Logan. Pegg held...

Private elections leave Fairfield high and dry

The Covid-19 outbreak centred on Fairfield in south-western Sydney has shone a new light on a weak point in the NSW local government electoral system. The choice of a private company to run Fairfield's local council election to save money will mean that the...

NSW local council elections – campaigning in lockdown

So the NSW local government election is scheduled to be held on September 4, which is less than seven weeks away.Greater Sydney is still under lockdown, with case numbers close to their highest level. We may be at the peak, or there may be...

Federal election open thread

There's been a lot of comments on various electorate profiles about the federal election that have been a bit more general than about a particular seat, and I've had a few requests for an open thread to discuss the federal election.I'm working on a...

Federal election guide – more free seats

I have posted another two seat guides for the federal election as freebies for everyone to read: Boothby and Gilmore. With so many people still stuck under lockdown I thought people might enjoy having something to read.These two seats are both very marginal, one...

Victorian state redistribution – summary of changes

The draft electoral boundaries for Victoria's next state election were released on Wednesday. Significant population growth on the outer fringe of Melbourne has seen significant changes over the last eight years. This has resulted in three seats being abolished and three others split in...

Victorian federal redistribution finalised

The Australian Electoral Commission yesterday announced the final boundaries for Victoria for the next federal election.I don't have any detailed or complete analysis because they have not published any maps or data, just descriptions of the changes.They have made changes to 13 seats compared...