WA’s upper house shifting to one big electorate

The current voting system for the Western Australian upper house is set to be overhauled after the WA state government accepted the recommendations of its expert panel earlier today. The panel has recommended the abolition of all regions used to elect the upper house,...

Papua New Guinea’s latest attempt at redistribution

Papua New Guinea's parliament is elected from single-member electorates which are meant to be regularly reviewed and redrawn, as they are in Australia. Yet the current boundaries have not been significantly changed since the 1977 election. The Boundaries Commission is having another go now,...

South Australian election guide launched

I've now completed my guide to the South Australian state election, due on March 19 next year.The guide features profiles of all 47 House of Assembly electorates, as well as the Legislative Council contest.For now, I've released two of the profiles as a sample....

Daly by-election guide, and new data

I have now published a guide to the by-election in the Northern Territory seat of Daly, which will be held on the 11th of September. Daly is a very marginal Country Liberal seat and may well be in play. There aren't really enough election-day...

NSW state redistribution finalised

The final electoral boundaries to be used at the 2023 New South Wales state election were released on Thursday, and I have now finished my new electoral map, along with estimates of margins.You can download the Google Earth map file here.Most of the changes...

Federal election guide completed

I have now finished all of the remaining profiles for the guide to the next Australian federal election. I published the 97 seats unaffected by redistribution back in June, but I've now also published the 54 seats in Western Australia and Victoria, as well...

Federal redistributions finalised

The Australian Electoral Commission this afternoon published the maps and data for the final redistribution of Western Australia's federal electoral boundaries. This follows the same publication for the Victorian redistribution last Monday.The actual announcements for these redistributions were made previously, but we did not...

More samples from the federal election guide

As the lockdown in Sydney drags on, I've decided to release a few more profiles from my guide to the next federal election. This is on top of the other five that I released a few weeks ago.The three seats I'm releasing today are...

Victorian state redistribution – margin estimates

I will firstly acknowledge that I am very late in publishing these figures. I've just finished moving house during the first two weeks of lockdown and it has pushed back my timelines.Anyway, this post contains my estimates of the two-candidate-preferred margins, the primary vote...

Stretton by-election guide

There is a by-election coming up this Saturday in the Queensland state seat of Stretton, following the death of Labor MP Duncan Pegg in early June.The seat covers the southern fringe of the City of Brisbane, close to the border with Logan. Pegg held...