Podcast #134: ACT election wrap-up

Ben is joined by ACT historian Chris Monnox and Tasmanian psephologist Kevin Bonham to dig into the results of last weekend's ACT election, looking at the narrative, the likely shape of the new government and the close races not yet called. This podcast is supported...

Victorian council election guides finalised

I'm pleased to report that, in the final week of voting for the Victorian council elections, I've now finished my guide to the 33 most populous Victorian councils, as originally planned. I had originally written guides for the 16 most populous but ran out of...

ACT and NSW by-elections live

11:43 - Finally, I wanted to wrap up the narratives of the ACT election. Labor has been in power for 23 years, so it is not at all surprising to see the government losing support. But the loss of support is relatively modest. At the time...

NT federal redistribution drafts released

The draft federal electoral boundaries for the Northern Territory were published earlier today. This redistribution is far less dramatic than the redistributions for the three big states that have just concluded. For a start, there is no change to the seat count - the redistribution...

Podcast #133: Final week of the Queensland election

Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign. This...

Victorian federal redistribution – final margins

The AEC released the final maps and data for the Victorian federal redistribution earlier today. In this blog post I'm going to post my final estimates of primary votes, two-party-preferred and two-candidate-preferred margins for each seat. At the end I've also posted the final...

Mapping the candidate vote in the ACT

Under Hare-Clark, a party's total vote is not the only thing that matters for how many seats you win. In a close race, the relative distribution of votes between your candidates can make a difference. A party with more than one quota can sometimes be...

Victorian wards and the size of the ballot

The number of distinct electoral contests in Victorian councils has shot through the roof this year. There were 260 in 2016, 298 in 2020, and 465 this year, as the mandate imposing single-member wards across all large councils outside of the City of Melbourne...

The presence of parties in Victorian councils

As part of the nomination process for the 2024 Victorian council elections, each candidate was asked to fill out a questionnaire. One of the questions was whether the candidate was endorsed by a party. Not everyone did the survey, but most candidates did. This...

New Victorian council guides published

The Victorian council elections are now upon us - ballot papers are in the mail now, and will be counted on the day of the Queensland election, October 26. I previously completed the first half of my council guide, covering the first 16 of 33...