SA federal redistribution live

11:43 - That's it for today. All done within an hour. It's worth noting that if the federal parliament is expanded, this redistribution process will be abandoned and will need to start over. So hopefully the federal government will make a final decision on...

Preference counts shed light on Labor-One Nation contests

OnThe Electoral Commission of South Australia has been spending the last two days recounting votes in seats where they have had to do a new two-candidate-preferred (2CP) count after incorrectly choosing candidates to count on election night. They still have some way to go...

Podcast #166 – One Nation surge in South Australia

Ben was joined by Rob Manwaring to look over the results of last Saturday's South Australian state election, in particular the emergence of One Nation as a party polling higher than the Liberal Party. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NfqkiAay93A This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon....

SA 2026 – the next morning

Last night's election was truly remarkable. Preferential counts had little value, as we grappled with a truly astounding number of three-cornered or even four-cornered contests. By this morning, we have a fairly good sense of what is going on, but there is still quite a...

South Australia election night live

Polls have just closed in South Australia. Tonight I won't be liveblogging here, instead I will be livestreaming online, with a rotating group of guests. This is the first time we're doing this, so please join me there. I may come back and publish...

First ever Tally Room livestream, this Saturday

This Saturday night, I'm going to be doing something different, that I've been thinking about doing for a while. Instead of doing a liveblog, I will be livestreaming election night coverage. This is a bit of an experiment and I'm keeping it simple for the first...

Podcast #165 – Seats to watch on SA election night

Ben was joined by Josh Sunman from Flinders University to run through the seats that could be in play on election night and how preference distributions could become much more complex amidst a One Nation surge. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N70jZvXMXu4 This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on...

Tasmanian Legislative Council guides launched

As happens every year, voters in two Tasmanian upper house electorates will go to the polls on May 2 to elect their representative for the next six years. This will be one of a number of elections happening in early May, with the Nepean by-election...

ACT redistribution release – live

12:33 - I have reconsidered my method of calculating the margin for the seat of Bean. There is quite a high correlation between Labor 2CP and Labor 2PP in the seat, which is explained by Liberal voters preferencing the independent at high rates. So...

Podcast #164 – South Australian election preview

Ben was joined by Intifar Chowdhury and Anthony Zougras to bring the podcast up to speed on South Australian politics before the state election on March 21. They discussed the decline in support for the Liberal Party, the emergence of One Nation, and Peter...