New map – PNG electoral boundaries

Papua New Guinea goes to the polls next month to elect the national parliament, and for the first time since 1977 there has been a redistribution of electoral boundaries. Seven existing electorates have been split in half to create seven new seats. Another six...

Podcast #77: PNG election preview

Ben is joined by Maholopa Laveil from the University of Papua New Guinea to discuss the upcoming Papua New Guinea national election, with voting scheduled for most of July. We discuss PNG constitutional structures, election procedures, how the parties work and political geography.This podcast...

Understanding 3CP trends

As the minor party and independent vote has increased, we have seen the voting method used for the House of Representatives take on more complex and difficult to predict features. Nearly every MP has been elected without a majority of the vote, and an...

Mapping out a majority early vote

Now that all of the votes have been counted, I wanted to look at the various methods of casting a ballot, which methods have become more popular, and how the two-party-preferred vote varies depending on when someone casts their ballot.For the first time in...

Final 2PP opens up the historical trends

The two-party-preferred count was effectively finalised last night, with the final figures counted from Cooper and Melbourne in inner-city Melbourne. There were 26 electorates where the final two-candidate-preferred count was not between Labor and the Coalition (non-classic), so a separate count was needed to...

Booth map of the day: the ACT

Today I'm looking at booth results across the ACT. I'm starting with a two-candidate-preferred map, but probably the Senate race is more interesting, where independent candidate David Pocock polled over 20% and knocked out Liberal senator Zed Seselja.Starting with the two-candidate-preferred vote, it's worth...

Booth map of the day: the Perth region

This map is the largest booth map I've published, and it shows the two-candidate-preferred results in eleven of WA's fifteen seats, and the swings in ten (there being no valid 2CP swing in Curtin).I'm not sure what exactly I want to focus on with...

Booth map of the day: Gilmore

Gilmore is one of the two closest seats in terms of the final preference count, and is unique for being one of the few seats the Coalition had a feasible chance of gaining from Labor at the election.Labor won Gilmore in 2019 for the...

Booth map of the day: Fowler

Today's map shows the two-candidate-preferred vote by booth in Fowler between newly elected independent Dai Le and her opponent, former Labor senator Kristina Keneally.The map shows booths won by Keneally in red, and booths won by Le in purple.There seem to be two different...

Booth map of the day: inner city Brisbane

For the rest of this week, each day I'll be featuring a booth map of a seat or a handful of neighbouring seats, starting today with the three seats won by the Greens in inner Brisbane: Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan.The map shows that the...