The Tally Room

The Australian Electoral Commission has now released the numbers to be used when drawing new federal electoral boundaries for Western Australia. This follows up on the NSW numbers released last month, with Victoria due next week. Western Australia will get a sixteenth seat, making up...

When I went to look at the Voice referendum results at the booth level in my local area, I noticed some surprising trends in terms of which booths voted Yes. In Parramatta, I was surprised that the north-east of the seat generally voted No, while...

There has been some confusion and even some misleading analysis looking at how the Yes vote performed in seats with large Indigenous populations. In particular, the focus has been on the seats of Lingiari, Leichhardt, Parkes, Kennedy and Durack, all of which voted No. The...

Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to recap the results of the Voice referendum. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support. You can subscribe to this podcast using this...

Well last night's referendum results turned out to be decisive. At the time of writing, No is sitting on 60.3% of the national vote, and has won all six states as well as the Northern Territory. The ACT voted Yes, and Yes is leading...

Polls have just closed in south-eastern Australia in the Voice referendum. Polls will close in 30 minutes in South Australia, in one hour in Queensland, an hour and a half in the Northern Territory, and three hours in Western Australia. I'll be on ABC Radio...

Polls have just opened in south-eastern Australia in the first federal constitutional referendum in a quarter-century on the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament. Polls suggest the Voice is set to fall far short of success, but we'll see soon enough. Voting has...

Australian constitutional referendums aren't fought at the seat level. They aren't really fought at the national level. It's actually a contest in six states. A referendum requires a majority in four out of six states to pass. It's also necessary to achieve a national majority,...

Ben is joined today by Peter Brent to wrap up the referendum campaign. We discuss the state of the polls, the relative position of the states, whether the low Yes vote can really be blamed on the state of the campaign or by the...

When the results start flowing in on Saturday night, it will be our first experience of a federal referendum night in 24 years. For this post, I wanted to discuss some ideas of what to expect on the night, and how to assess the...