The Tally Room

11:10 - That list of seats has changed a bit since I started on this bit of analysis 40 minutes ago, and the last seat is South Brisbane. The gap between the ALP and LNP has shrunk as the pre-poll votes have reported. Greens MP Amy...

Voting closed last night for the Victorian local government elections. Ballot boxes will be opened today and votes will start to be counted. I believe the deadline for declaring results is November 15, and we may not get any official figures before the declaration. I...

I have been watching the last week of counting in the ACT election, which eventually made it clear that the Greens' Laura Nuttall would retain the final seat in Brindabella, despite her own party conceding defeat on election night, and that Liberal MP Ed...

Ben is joined by ACT historian Chris Monnox and Tasmanian psephologist Kevin Bonham to dig into the results of last weekend's ACT election, looking at the narrative, the likely shape of the new government and the close races not yet called. This podcast is supported...

I'm pleased to report that, in the final week of voting for the Victorian council elections, I've now finished my guide to the 33 most populous Victorian councils, as originally planned. I had originally written guides for the 16 most populous but ran out of...

11:43 - Finally, I wanted to wrap up the narratives of the ACT election. Labor has been in power for 23 years, so it is not at all surprising to see the government losing support. But the loss of support is relatively modest. At the time...

The draft federal electoral boundaries for the Northern Territory were published earlier today. This redistribution is far less dramatic than the redistributions for the three big states that have just concluded. For a start, there is no change to the seat count - the redistribution...

Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign. This...

The AEC released the final maps and data for the Victorian federal redistribution earlier today. In this blog post I'm going to post my final estimates of primary votes, two-party-preferred and two-candidate-preferred margins for each seat. At the end I've also posted the final...

Under Hare-Clark, a party's total vote is not the only thing that matters for how many seats you win. In a close race, the relative distribution of votes between your candidates can make a difference. A party with more than one quota can sometimes be...