The mismatch in Brisbane’s booth results

When I was analysing the 2020 Brisbane City election results at the start of the year, I noticed an inconsistency. I've now identified that the same issue is true of the 2024 results, and I wanted to clarify what is going on. This issue only...

BCC – postal voting down, but pre-poll voting holds its own

Now that we have the final results for the Brisbane City Council election, we can assess how people chose to cast their votes, and how that fits into the historical trend. A slow decline in election-day voting accelerated dramatically in 2020, with the election held...

Cook by-election live

9:06 - I'm going to wrap up here. This was a very comfortable Liberal victory, with a primary vote currently sitting on 62.7%. 8:28 - They have finished counting the primary votes for all election-day and pre-poll booths, and the Liberal Party is on 62.6%...

Tasmanian LC candidates announced

Nominations have been declared for three Tasmanian Legislative Council elections, with polling day on May 4. Tasmania's upper house is never fully dissolved, with two or three of the fifteen electorates up for election each year over a six-year cycle. This year, the seat of Hobart...

The impact of OPV in Brisbane

Now that we have the final voting figures for the City of Brisbane, it was possible to update the analysis of preference flows and the impact of optional preferential voting (OPV) that I published prior to the election. Immediately after the election, it became clear...

New datasets now published

I have been spending the last few weeks adding a bunch of extra data to the Tally Room data repository, This repository contains tidy data for state and local elections that I have found useful for my data analysis. Often this data is published...

Tasmania produces a very proportional result

The recent Tasmanian election was very interesting and complex to follow, right down to the final preference distributions, but it also did a good job of translating votes into seats. The House of Assembly was expanded in size from 25 to 35, and with that...

Tasmanian preference distribution update – final day

The distribution of preferences concluded today in the final three electorates: Bass, Braddon and Lyons, after Clark and Franklin concluded on Friday. The final seat result was 14 Liberal, 10 Labor, 5 Greens, 3 Jacqui Lambie Network and 3 independents: David O'Byrne, Kristie Johnston and...

Tasmanian preference distribution update – day four

The count is nearing the end, with Clark and Franklin finishing their count today. Quite a few candidates reached quotas today, with most of the unclear races now resolved. It now looks likely that Craig Garland will defeat Liberal Giovanna Simpson for the final seat in...

By-election incoming for Northern Tablelands

NSW Nationals MP Adam Marshall announced his retirement yesterday, which will force a by-election for his state seat of Northern Tablelands in the New England region of NSW. Northern Tablelands has always been a strong area for the Nationals, but has also been a strong...