Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the next Australian federal election. This guide will include comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2022 election, as well as maps and tables showing those results.
On this page you can find links to each individual profile for one third of all House of Representatives electorates, and the Senate contests in the six states and the two territories.
This guide is a work in progress. For now profiles have only been prepared for fifty electorates, as well as profiles for the eight Senate contests. Profiles for the 100 seats in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will be produced once the redistribution concludes in 2024.
This election guide is a big project over many months. If you appreciate this work please consider signing up as a patron of this website via Patreon.
Most of this guide is currently only available to those who donate $5 or more per month via Patreon. I have unlocked two House profiles and one Senate profile for everyone to read – scroll to the end of this page to find the list of unlocked profiles.
Table of contents:
Local electorate profiles
Profiles have been produced for 50 out of 150 House of Representatives electorates: those in Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory.
Profiles for electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will need to wait for the conclusions of redistributions in 2024.
You can use the following navigation to click through to each seat’s profile:
You can use the following map to click on any lower house seat, and then click through to the relevant guide where available.
Senate profiles
Profiles have been written for the Senate races in all six states and both territories.
- New South Wales
- Victoria
- Queensland
- Western Australia
- South Australia
- Tasmania
- Australian Capital Territory
- Northern Territory
Free samples
Most of this election guide is only available to people who chip in $5 or more per month via Patreon, but a small selection have been unlocked for free access:
Contact
If you have a correction or an update for a single electorate page, feel free to post a comment. You can also send an email by using this form.
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It has to be remembered that there is a strong ‘independent’ streak in Northern NSW. Tony Windsor held New England by a big margin until 2013. And Richard Torbay held Northern Tablelands. Indies have also had a good crack at Tamworth. A credible candidate – conservative but Tealish – could knock Barnaby off. Fiona Simson?
@raue is ns is abolished kyles tink will provblby be left without a seat because bradfield will be problby 70% of the old bradfieldso boulevard would gave more claim to runand has already indicated she would and it would still be notionally liberal. Kyles tink will lose bradfield anyway I reckon as aged be basically starting from scratch
Raue what happens if warringah and Wentworth are merged who would win?
@Redistributed, I can see an independent running on a regional issues, accountability, anti-establishment platform. Helen Haines and before her, Cathy McGowan, did so. Both were backed by a grassroots Voices for Indi movement. It was the first Voices group and the first to defeat a sitting MP.
I agree that a good, strong, well-resourced independent candidate could be a threat to Barnaby or any regional MP.
@votante cathy mcgowan only won because sophie mirabella was aan outsider from melbourne who was parachuted in and was only elected because there wasnt any other choice and from what i saw personally and heard nooone really liked her and tbh i think she was abit up herself and even as a liberal voter can see why people protest voted against her. i think the libs have had really good candidates in both 2019 and 2022. barnaby wont get beaten. i think the independents will die off especially if they are forced to chose a side in minority government
@john Mirabella was a train wreck and her office was marginally worse. As a hobby I subscribe to Seek’s electorate office jobs, mainly due to morbid curiosity and quite a bit of using it to predict the future. Nothing says major drama like three or four positions that need filling advertised in one Seek post. Mirabella’s office had so many vacancies they could have saved money by just taking out a yearly subscription.
Over the course of her time in Indi her vote was heading consistently down. For a seat that was widely considered a safe Liberal seat Victoria Liberal HQ definitely dropped the ball there.
Long term, Barnaby’s numbers show the same trend.
@Votante New England is not as socially conservative as you might think, with Armidale and the University of New England in the electorate. Although he’s more likely to lose the seat through a preselection challenge.
@John Jack Dempsey was a long-serving State Member for the National Party (2006-2015) and the Police Minister in the Newman Government. Probably not Climate 200 backed, 🙂 but was the Mayor of Bundaberg between 2016 and 2024 before stepping down.
@Mark Yore having visited several parts of New England I can say it’s just as conservative as the rest of rural Australia. The University of New England is in Armidale but Armidale itself is conservative. Same goes for Tamworth. Equally as conservative as the nearby seat of Lyne where I grew up.
@Neither Portal, looking at the results of last Fed Election and Voice Referendum, Armidale had some voting booths that Voted Labor in TPP and Yes while even others had a narrow National TPP and No Vote so can say it is a very similar to America Collage towns where it is a progressive enclave in the middle of a very conservative region.
new polling reveals the govt is going nowhere politically and it is doubtful they will call an election this year as they will want to hold n to their makority as long as possible
@Marh only around the University though. Armidale is a university city though, like how there are college cities in the United States. Armidale’s population peeks during university season.
A leading economist is predicting 3 rate Hills this year. That would bury the already struggling govt I think