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Anyone know when SA Greens senate preselection results will come through? Not predicting anything interesting though keeping an eye on it as Sarah Hanson-Young reportedly only won preselection last time by 53%-47%.
What’s the chance SA labor could gain a third seat?
Labor winning a third seat? That’s a possibility. In Vic and SA, Labor is holding up somewhat whilst its support has dropped elsewhere, according to polling.
The SA Liberal senate ticket is led by Alex Antic and religious conservatives have a huge stake in the SA Liberals. They’re not moderate at all.
Xenophon is hardly the force he once was. One Nation is in decline. I reckon the biggest threats to the big three parties will either be Legalise Cannabis or teal or regionalist independents who could split votes and send preferences in various directions.
@Votante I think it is likely that Labor could nab a third seat in the senate even though it’s rarely happened (if at all). The Liberals usually takes the 6th seat with ON and Palmer preferences but given that they’re on the nose in the state overall thanks to the right wing of the party demanding and commanding control, plus as you mentioned the general strength of Labor in SA compared to the other states, it’s very possible against the usual tides around the rest of the country that usually elects 3 Coalition, 2 Labor and 1 Green (or one minor party at the expense of the Coalition’s 3rd seat)