Pendulum – Australia 2025

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates contested at the 2022 federal election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin at that election.

Electorates in Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory will be used without any boundary changes in 2025. Electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will be redrawn.

Labor Seats Coalition Seats
Seat Margin Seat Margin
Gilmore (NSW) ALP 0.2% Deakin (VIC) LIB 0.2%
Lyons (TAS) ALP 0.9% Sturt (SA) LIB 0.5%
Lingiari (NT) ALP 0.9% Moore (WA) LIB 0.7%
Bennelong (NSW) ALP 1.0% Menzies (VIC) LIB 0.7%
Higgins (VIC) ALP 2.1% Bass (TAS) LIB 1.4%
Robertson (NSW) ALP 2.3% Casey (VIC) LIB 1.5%
Tangney (WA) ALP 2.4% Dickson (QLD) LNP 1.7%
Boothby (SA) ALP 3.3% Cowper (NSW) NAT 2.3% vs IND
McEwen (VIC) ALP 3.3% Aston (VIC) LIB 2.8%
Paterson (NSW) ALP 3.3% Monash (VIC) LIB 2.9%
Hunter (NSW) ALP 4.0% Longman (QLD) LNP 3.1%
Parramatta (NSW) ALP 4.6% Banks (NSW) LIB 3.2%
Reid (NSW) ALP 5.2% Bonner (QLD) LNP 3.4%
Blair (QLD) ALP 5.2% Leichhardt (QLD) LNP 3.4%
Shortland (NSW) ALP 5.8% Canning (WA) LIB 3.6%
Werriwa (NSW) ALP 5.8% Nicholls (VIC) NAT 3.8% vs IND
Hasluck (WA) ALP 6.0% Flynn (QLD) LNP 3.8%
Dunkley (VIC) ALP 6.3% Wannon (VIC) LIB 3.9% vs IND
Chisholm (VIC) ALP 6.4% Forde (QLD) LNP 4.2%
Dobell (NSW) ALP 6.5% Bradfield (NSW) LIB 4.2% vs IND
Bruce (VIC) ALP 6.6% Durack (WA) LIB 4.3%
Isaacs (VIC) ALP 6.9% Forrest (WA) LIB 4.3%
Holt (VIC) ALP 7.1% Petrie (QLD) LNP 4.4%
Corangamite (VIC) ALP 7.6% Bowman (QLD) LNP 5.5%
Hawke (VIC) ALP 7.6% Lindsay (NSW) LIB 6.3%
Macquarie (NSW) ALP 7.8% Capricornia (QLD) LNP 6.6%
Eden-Monaro (NSW) ALP 8.2% Flinders (VIC) LIB 6.7%
Richmond (NSW) ALP 8.2% Groom (QLD) LNP 6.9% vs IND
Macarthur (NSW) ALP 8.5% O’Connor (WA) LIB 7.0%
Wills (VIC) ALP 8.6% vs GRN Hughes (NSW) LIB 7.0%
Cooper (VIC) ALP 8.7% vs GRN Hume (NSW) LIB 7.7%
Swan (WA) ALP 8.8% Braddon (TAS) LIB 8.0%
Hindmarsh (SA) ALP 8.9% Fisher (QLD) LNP 8.7%
Pearce (WA) ALP 9.0% La Trobe (VIC) LIB 8.7%
Rankin (QLD) ALP 9.1% Fairfax (QLD) LNP 9.0%
Moreton (QLD) ALP 9.1% McPherson (QLD) LNP 9.3%
Solomon (NT) ALP 9.4% Calare (NSW) NAT 9.7% vs IND
McMahon (NSW) ALP 9.5% Berowra (NSW) LIB 9.8%
Gorton (VIC) ALP 10.0% Grey (SA) LIB 10.1%
Whitlam (NSW) ALP 10.1% Hinkler (QLD) LNP 10.1%
Lilley (QLD) ALP 10.5% Dawson (QLD) LNP 10.4%
Makin (SA) ALP 10.8% Fadden (QLD) LNP 10.6%
Cowan (WA) ALP 10.8% Mitchell (NSW) LIB 10.7%
Greenway (NSW) ALP 11.5% Page (NSW) NAT 10.7%
Gellibrand (VIC) ALP 11.5% Wright (QLD) LNP 10.9%
Oxley (QLD) ALP 11.6% Moncrieff (QLD) LNP 11.2%
Adelaide (SA) ALP 11.9% Wide Bay (QLD) LNP 11.3%
Bendigo (VIC) ALP 12.1% Herbert (QLD) LNP 11.8%
Canberra (ACT) ALP 12.2% vs GRN Cook (NSW) LIB 12.4%
Macnamara (VIC) ALP 12.2% Lyne (NSW) NAT 13.8%
Jagajaga (VIC) ALP 12.3% Riverina (NSW) NAT 14.8%
Calwell (VIC) ALP 12.4% Farrer (NSW) LIB 16.4%
Maribyrnong (VIC) ALP 12.4% New England (NSW) NAT 16.4%
Lalor (VIC) ALP 12.8% Barker (SA) LIB 16.6%
Corio (VIC) ALP 12.8% Parkes (NSW) NAT 17.8%
Spence (SA) ALP 12.9% Mallee (VIC) NAT 19.0%
Bean (ACT) ALP 12.9% Gippsland (VIC) NAT 20.6%
Ballarat (VIC) ALP 13.0% Maranoa (QLD) LNP 22.1%
Chifley (NSW) ALP 13.5%
Franklin (TAS) ALP 13.7%
Hotham (VIC) ALP 14.3%
Kingsford Smith (NSW) ALP 14.5% Curtin (WA) IND 1.3% vs LIB
Cunningham (NSW) ALP 14.7% Fowler (NSW) IND 1.6% vs ALP
Perth (WA) ALP 14.8% Mackellar (NSW) IND 2.5% vs LIB
Blaxland (NSW) ALP 14.9% Ryan (QLD) GRN 2.6% vs LNP
Watson (NSW) ALP 15.1% Goldstein (VIC) IND 2.9% vs LIB
Burt (WA) ALP 15.2% North Sydney (NSW) IND 2.9% vs LIB
Barton (NSW) ALP 15.5% Kooyong (VIC) IND 2.9% vs LIB
Scullin (VIC) ALP 15.6% Brisbane (QLD) GRN 3.7% vs LNP
Fenner (ACT) ALP 15.7% Wentworth (NSW) IND 4.2% vs LIB
Kingston (SA) ALP 16.4% Indi (VIC) IND 8.9% vs LIB
Fraser (VIC) ALP 16.5% Melbourne (VIC) GRN 10.2% vs ALP
Sydney (NSW) ALP 16.7% vs GRN Griffith (QLD) GRN 10.5% vs LNP
Brand (WA) ALP 16.7% Warringah (NSW) IND 11.0% vs LIB
Fremantle (WA) ALP 16.9% Mayo (SA) CA 12.3% vs LIB
Grayndler (NSW) ALP 17.1% vs GRN Kennedy (QLD) KAP 13.1% vs LNP
Newcastle (NSW) ALP 18.0% Clark (TAS) IND 20.8% vs ALP