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I wonder if Brisbane will ever cross the river again like from 1994 to 2003.
https://handbook.aph.gov.au/Electorate/Brisbane/State/Queensland
@ian doubtful it currently crosses in blair and i don’t see why they would cross it two divisions.
Just on Maleny and the Sunny Coast hinterland, the spike in housing cost and rental affordability is really impacting these towns. The towns are struggling with finding casual workers to fill shifts as they can’t afford to live locally. Alot of ex Brisbane, Victorians and Sydney people moving in who are cashed up, while moving out are lower income workers and some of the hippie population. Potentially improves LNP vote a little. Also a few higher end retirement villages are popping up in the Palmwoods area so older population LNP leaning.
It’s a smaller effect than on the coastal strip of the Sunny Coast and the Gold Coast in general, but it’s certainly a factor.
The counter is alot of more affordable housing away from Maleny in the Mooloolah valley or even in Palmwoods and Woombye which probably attracting younger families who might have more progressive voters whether Teal or Labor or Greens.
Could be really interesting to see how the Greens or Teal go in that area and any swing compares the coastal areas.
Again this Hinterland factor could still be marginal if the coastal strip swings hard LNP or even swings Teal.
@lnp what seat is that
@John it’s in the seat of Fisher
@aa thanks I’m out atm can’t be bothered googling stuff atm. Posting from Watson and Reid this weekend
I will be paying close attention to the state results of this seat on the weekend. Here’s is my method for calculating them:
Clayfield + McConnel + Cooper (Brisbane) + Ferny Grove (Brisbane) + Stafford (Brisbane) – Clayfield (Lilley)
* Suburbs of Clayfield in Lilley: Brisbane Airport, Eagle Farm, Pinkenba
* Suburbs of Cooper in Brisbane: Ashgrove, Milton, Paddington, Red Hill
* Suburbs of Ferny Grove in Brisbane: Alderley, Enoggera, Newmarket
* Suburbs of Stafford in Brisbane: Grange, Newmarket, Wilston, Windsor
Every booth in Clayfield is located in Brisbane, but the sparsely-populated Brisbane Airport part around Eagle Farm and Pinkenba is Lilley. Eagle Farm and Pinkenba had no state booths in 2020 but if they do in 2024 I’ll just subtract them from the result when determining Brisbane’s TCP.
My interim TPP that will be updated on election night will be Clayfield + McConnel but after the results are done I should be able to do a full TCP.