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Letting the Nats have a go at Ripon and Benambra weakens future Liberal claims in Wannon and Indi. Should the Nats win Benambra then Indi would be almost wall to wall National at state level basically handing the leading coalition in the seat to the Nats in future. I am not too sure how the Nats would fly in Albury – Wodonga – it has always been Liberal not National territory.
Well technically Ripon would be on a labor opponent. And the libs and nats may have to deal with a real again also so it’s not wasted resources. And they won’t spend resources fighting each other. And certainly won’t spend resources fighting each other over Benambra. The nats have a very low chance of winning Benambra. And it won’t be a lib vs nat contest anyway there is a significant enough left vote to push either the real or labor into the count.
The nats would be better placed at winning Farrer then Indi the last few nats candidates in Indi since Mirabella was beaten ahvent got off the ground.
John the make-up of the 2PP isn’t important, it’s the fact that resources that could be spent on Bendigo West, Box Hill or Sydenham suddenly get doubled up for the Coalition in seats they will most likely win anyway. If they sat down and allocated each other seats for maximum coverage against Labor (something I doubt would happen) then you would not see 3-cornered contests anywhere despite what your thoughts about Nats prospects in Benambra etc
Ilexcept they aren’t winning bendigo west not even if jacinta Allen shoots someone in federation square in broad daylight. The benefit is they have two candidates tag teaming labor for Ripon. The coalition agreement clearly exists so any uncoocupied seat can be contested by either party.theybarent gonna double up resources fighting each other though. Nats wont win Benambra I guarantee that.
Only in nsw do they have allocated seats due to opv
There’s no benefit in ‘tag teaming’ as it simply results in leakage and duplication of resources to do the same thing – unseat a Labor MP.
It’s not about Bendigo West (I agree they won’t win but what if Labor got nervous and had to sandbag?) it’s about the coalition removing as many Labor MPs as possible and any strategy which sees them spending their own limited resources on trying to outcompete each other rather than their actual opponent is an impediment to them forming government. I am aware of the Coalition agreement but the point I am making is quite separate