Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the 2024 Queensland state election. This guide includes comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2020 election, as well as maps and tables showing those results.
Table of contents:
Legislative Assembly seat profiles
Seat profiles have been produced for all 93 Legislative Assembly electoral districts. You can use the following navigation to click through to each seat’s profile.
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The issue in Victoria is that the working class seats in Victoria are very ethnic the only real pick up for the Liberals being anti-treaty is Hastings which part of it is white working class so while they may pick that up they stand to loose a bunch of affluent seats to the Teals or Berwick there there is a rapidly growing South Asian community in the Southern part of the electorate. It is very different to QLD which is a decentralized seat with much more white working class voters.
The number of Registered Parties for the upcoming QLD 2024 State Election has decreased with the Civil Liberties & Motorists Party [Motorists] having their registration cancelled on 13th October 2023. This now leaves 8 parties currently registered for the 2024 election. They are:
-ALP, LNP, KAP, GRN, ONP, AJP, IMOP, LCQ (Legalise Cannibis). The first 5 parties have current representation in the house.
Motorists join SFF Qld (cancelled Dec ’22) with NQF and UAP as being de-registered during the current (57th) Parliament of QLD. For the record, Motorists stood 16 candidates at the last election with the SFF 3, NQF 5 and UAP 54 respectively.
2020 was a high with 12 parties registered and running, with 2017 at 6, and 2015 at 7, compared to the current 8.
Upon researching candidates announced so far, I’ve come across the ‘Democractic Party of Queensland’. Never heard of them before. Their website is mostly devoid of information with a few broad generic policy ideas currently listed. Under the ‘About’ section is mentioned the following:
“The Democratic Party of Queensland (DPQ) is a political party in Queensland with a highly talented team, resources and capabilities to competitively contest all 93 electoral seats in the 2024 Queensland state election. The party is applying for inclusion in the Electoral Commission of Queensland register of political parties.”
Until they actually get registered with ECQ, I won’t take it seriously but could fill the small hole the UAP has left vote-wise. Make of it what you will, but things are slowly picking up a pace election wise.
–Party Watch Update–
Also, I think the LNP selecting candidates this far ahead has forced other right-wing parties hand to start their processes earlier. KAP has publicly called for candidates and announced 3 so far (Cook, Mundingburra, Thuringowa) and ONP currently publicly calling for candidates. Cannot see anything for GRN (more focus on council 2024 election) nor AJP or IMOP or LCQ (most information still pertains to 2022 Fed Election, 2023 NSW or previous QLD elections respectively). Interesting to note the AJP was calling for members for meet the 500 threshold back in June.
I recall an article recently in which Palaszczuk apparently gave Labor party MPs until the end of October to announce whether they would be contesting next year’s election or retiring. I wonder if they will all hold to that now the deadline is passed? Asuming the LNP continues to gain momentum, I think she will face unexpected departures and not have much control over it.
On the other hand I think some of the LNP members feel it is safer to retire this election and so we will see more of those announcements over the next year or so than with Labor. Haven’t seen any indication of it but you’d think Fiona Simpson is about ready to call it quits.
I hadn’t heard of DPQ, I wonder if they’re a branding of a party I do recognise.
Poking around their website reveals some interesting things. Looks like they’ve got some sublet office space in the CBD (ServCorp). That suggests that a bit of money is backing them. Constitution dates back to early 2022. No authorisation tags on their website, which is fair. No details of any party officers yet (e.g. President).
Looks like they want to have a 1:1 discussion over email before taking membership applications at this stage. They’ll want to do something a little less time intensive in going for 500 (and you usually want closer to 700 on the books to filter down to 550, to account for people who’ve recently moved and such).
From what I’ve heard ECQ rego takes a long time. Still, they have almost a year.
Oh, and ABN lookup points to an unincorporated association dating back to late 2020, with postcode 4551 (southern Sunshine Coast).
So yeah, someone’s put in the long term groundwork to have all the organisational side of a party, but then is doing … absolutely no campaigning yet.
According to The Australian, Labor are targeting 13 seats they don’t currently hold: Burleigh, Chatsworth, Clayfield, Coomera, Currumbin, Everton, Glass House, Mermaid Beach, Moggill, Ninderry, Oodgeroo, Theodore and Whitsunday.
I think this will be a tall order without the Covid management advantage they had at the last election.
@ Wilson Whitsunday being listed as the token regional seat makes sense given its low margin and the lack of competitive seats elsewhere, but I don’t think they have any chance of winning it.
At this rate, I don’t think Labor will gain any seats next year. I’m expecting all seats changing hands to be Labor -> LNP and Labor -> Greens. Maybe a surprise Independent, Katter or even One Nation gain somewhere as well.