Monash – Australia 2022

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  1. Liberal hold, however due to Melbourne’s growing urban sprawl this seat will be in play in future elections.

  2. Interesting, how the urban sprawl will play out in the years to come. Baw Baw Shire may become like the Macedon Ranges and become part of Melbourne’s commuter belt. This could be possible if more people continue to WFH post-covid. Faster rail services to Melbourne can also make this possible. However, Moe/Newborough i expect the Labor vote to continue to decline with the coal industry continuing to shrink. Bass Coast will likely see a sea change demographic like the communities on the Great Ocean Road which will assist Labor. So two trends going in opposite directions.

  3. I honestly, don’t see Labor winning state seat of Morwell, the population continues to decline in Latrrobe valley. I agree that Baw Baw shire could become like the Macedon Ranges and be part of Melbourne’s commuter belt

  4. This seat is basically liberal now…… but demographic change could effect it…. also Broadbent I think is over 70 now and may well retire in the near future…. expect the the liberal vote will decline 3 to 5% if Broadbent were to retire


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