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Hume is right at the edge of metropolitan Sydney and is where the growing mortgage belt meets semi-rural areas.
There is a demographic shift east of The Northern Road (Leppington, Oran Park, Harrington Park) where there are new greenfield housing estates and a growing mortgage belt. The demographic centre of the electorate is shifting towards this area. Voters are more likely to vote Green than One Nation. The demographics are favouring Labor longer-term.
In the southern and western parts, the semi-rural nature and historic small towns and villages see stronger support for the Liberals. One Nation also does better here than in the newer suburbs.
@ Votante
Harrington Park is more Estabalished which is why it is more Liberal voting with a higher median age. I do agree tht Oran Park, Leppington and Bringelly will be mortgage belt battlegrounds though. Rossmore and Bringelly are still rural but with a rail extention i expect it to change quickly. I just looked at the 2010 Macathur guide Narellan Vale had the biggest swing for any booth in NSW in both 1996 and 2007 but it did not really swing mich a 0.6% swing in 2022 to Libs against state trend while in 2022 change of governmet it was 6% so maybe once these suburbs become established it is getting more Conservative
https://www.tallyroom.com.au/archive/election-2010/macarthur
*0.6 swing to Libs in 2025 i mean