Shayne Neumann, since 2007.
Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences.
Thompson held Blair at the 2001 and 2004 elections, but lost in 2007 to Labor candidate Shayne Neumann. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest.
Neumann has been re-elected four times since his first win in 2010.
- Danielle Mutton (Greens)
- Michelle Jaques (Liberal Democrats)
- Quinton Cunningham (United Australia)
- Liz Suduk (One Nation)
- Shayne Neumann (Labor)
- Maria Pitman (Australian Values)
- Angela Lowery (Animal Justice)
- Sam Biggins (Liberal National)
|Robert Shearman||Liberal National||27,844||29.0||-0.6|
|Sharon Bell||One Nation||16,114||16.8||+1.9|
|Majella Zimpel||United Australia Party||3,261||3.4||+3.4|
|John Quinn||Democratic Labour Party||2,418||2.5||+2.4|
|Peter Fitzpatrick||Conservative National Party||2,009||2.1||+2.1|
2019 two-party-preferred result
|Robert Shearman||Liberal National||46,802||48.8||+6.9|
Booths have been divided into five areas. Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Those booths in the City of Ipswich have been divided into four parts. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. Most of Blair’s population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area.
This seat is a strong area for One Nation, with a vote ranging from 14.6% in northern and eastern Ipswich to 22.3% in rural Ipswich.
|Voter group||ON prim %||ALP 2PP %||Total votes||% of votes|