Wills – Australia 2022

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  1. This seat will most likely become marginal between the Greens & the ALP however I don’t see this seat changing hands.

  2. I suspect that Wills will stay ALP at this election, with a swing to the Greens cutting the margin and be highly competitive at the next election. Although the likely redistribution could help the ALP`s margin at the next election (Victoria is likely to loose a seat at the next election, due to the border closures hitting our population hardest).

  3. The state had 2007 and 2010 on the same boundaries and then again for 2013 and 2016 but then 2016, 2019, 2022, and potentially 2025 with different boundaries! I’m assuming Melbourne will bounce back to being the highest growth city in Australia going forward to reclaim the lost seat.

  4. How long did it take Melbourne/Victoria to recover from the population losses of the late 80s and early 90s? Might be a good indicator.

  5. With all due respect Melbourne isn’t a growing population in that seat is going to go to Perth which will make the boundaries a little bit interesting

  6. Assuming Victoria loses a seat at the next redistribution i think the impact on this seat will be less pronounced than in the Eastern Suburbs like Chisholm etc. The Southern part of the electorate is undergoing new apartments etc especially close to the transport corridors. It may go north and take Jacana etc which will help Labor or go South and take parts of Parkville/Princess Hill etc. Potentially just the rest of Moreland LGA would be the best bet.


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