Tanya Plibersek should retain this seat comfortably. I know some have suggested this seat could be vulnerable to the Greens when she leaves. But those voices have quietened over the past elections where the Greens have failed to make the two party preferred vote. If Anthony Albanese doesn’t win the next election my guess it will be Plibersek who is leader. Jim Chalmers is still young and has time, and Bill Shorten is still likely to be seen as damaged goods. Interestingly Kristina Keneally odds are higher then Chalmers and Shorten on Sportsbet.