Pendulum – Australia 2022

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates to be contested at the 2022 federal election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin.

Coalition Seats Labor Seats
Seat Margin Seat Margin
Bass (TAS) LIB 0.4% Macquarie (NSW) ALP 0.2%
Chisholm (VIC) LIB 0.5% Lilley (QLD) ALP 0.6%
Wentworth (NSW) LIB 1.3% vs IND Eden-Monaro (NSW) ALP 0.8%
Boothby (SA) LIB 1.4% Cowan (WA) ALP 0.9%
Braddon (TAS) LIB 3.1% Corangamite (VIC) ALP 1.0%
Reid (NSW) LIB 3.2% Blair (QLD) ALP 1.2%
Swan (WA) LIB 3.2% Dobell (NSW) ALP 1.5%
Longman (QLD) LNP 3.3% Moreton (QLD) ALP 1.9%
Higgins (VIC) LIB 3.7% Gilmore (NSW) ALP 2.6%
Leichhardt (QLD) LNP 4.2% Dunkley (VIC) ALP 2.7%
Robertson (NSW) LIB 4.2% Greenway (NSW) ALP 2.8%
Casey (VIC) LIB 4.6% Griffith (QLD) ALP 2.9%
Dickson (QLD) LNP 4.6% Hunter (NSW) ALP 3.0%
Deakin (VIC) LIB 4.7% Solomon (NT) ALP 3.1%
Brisbane (QLD) LNP 4.9% Perth (WA) ALP 3.2%
Lindsay (NSW) LIB 5.0% Parramatta (NSW) ALP 3.5%
Pearce (WA) LIB 5.2% Richmond (NSW) ALP 4.1%
La Trobe (VIC) LIB 5.4% Shortland (NSW) ALP 4.5%
Kooyong (VIC) LIB 5.5% vs GRN Paterson (NSW) ALP 5.0%
Flinders (VIC) LIB 5.6% Lyons (TAS) ALP 5.2%
Hasluck (WA) LIB 5.9% McEwen (VIC) ALP 5.3%
Ryan (QLD) LNP 6.0% Lingiari (NT) ALP 5.5%
Banks (NSW) LIB 6.3% Werriwa (NSW) ALP 5.5%
Cowper (NSW) NAT 6.8% vs IND Burt (WA) ALP 5.5%
Monash (VIC) LIB 6.9% Jagajaga (VIC) ALP 5.9%
Sturt (SA) LIB 6.9% Macnamara (VIC) ALP 6.1%
Bennelong (NSW) LIB 6.9% Oxley (QLD) ALP 6.4%
Menzies (VIC) LIB 7.0% Isaacs (VIC) ALP 6.4%
Bonner (QLD) LNP 7.4% Rankin (QLD) ALP 6.4%
Goldstein (VIC) LIB 7.8% Hindmarsh (SA) ALP 6.5%
Herbert (QLD) LNP 8.4% McMahon (NSW) ALP 6.6%
Petrie (QLD) LNP 8.4% Brand (WA) ALP 6.7%
Forde (QLD) LNP 8.6% Fremantle (WA) ALP 6.9%
Flynn (QLD) LNP 8.7% Bruce (VIC) ALP 7.3%
North Sydney (NSW) LIB 9.3% Bean (ACT) ALP 7.5%
Page (NSW) NAT 9.4% Adelaide (SA) ALP 8.2%
Tangney (WA) LIB 9.5% Macarthur (NSW) ALP 8.4%
Hughes (NSW) LIB 9.8% Wills (VIC) ALP 8.5% vs GRN
Aston (VIC) LIB 10.1% Kingsford Smith (NSW) ALP 8.8%
Wannon (VIC) LIB 10.2% Bendigo (VIC) ALP 8.9%
Bowman (QLD) LNP 10.2% Holt (VIC) ALP 8.9%
Farrer (NSW) LIB 10.9% vs IND Barton (NSW) ALP 9.4%
Canning (WA) LIB 11.6% Makin (SA) ALP 9.7%
Moore (WA) LIB 11.6% Hawke (VIC) ALP 10.2%
McPherson (QLD) LNP 12.2% Ballarat (VIC) ALP 10.3%
Capricornia (QLD) LNP 12.4% Maribyrnong (VIC) ALP 10.3%
Fisher (QLD) LNP 12.7% Corio (VIC) ALP 10.3%
Hume (NSW) LIB 13.0% Fenner (ACT) ALP 10.6%
Wide Bay (QLD) LNP 13.1% Whitlam (NSW) ALP 10.9%
Mackellar (NSW) LIB 13.2% Hotham (VIC) ALP 11.2%
Calare (NSW) NAT 13.3% Kingston (SA) ALP 11.9%
Grey (SA) LIB 13.3% Franklin (TAS) ALP 12.2%
Fairfax (QLD) LNP 13.4% Chifley (NSW) ALP 12.4%
Durack (WA) LIB 13.5% Lalor (VIC) ALP 12.4%
Curtin (WA) LIB 13.9% Gellibrand (VIC) ALP 13.0%
Fadden (QLD) LNP 14.2% Cunningham (NSW) ALP 13.4%
New England (NSW) NAT 14.4% vs IND Watson (NSW) ALP 13.5%
Hinkler (QLD) LNP 14.5% Newcastle (NSW) ALP 13.8%
Forrest (WA) LIB 14.6% Fowler (NSW) ALP 14.0%
Wright (QLD) LNP 14.6% Spence (SA) ALP 14.1%
Dawson (QLD) LNP 14.6% Gorton (VIC) ALP 14.3%
Lyne (NSW) NAT 15.2% Blaxland (NSW) ALP 14.7%
Moncrieff (QLD) LNP 15.4% Cooper (VIC) ALP 14.8% vs GRN
O’Connor (WA) LIB 15.4% Grayndler (NSW) ALP 16.3% vs GRN
Berowra (NSW) LIB 15.7% Canberra (ACT) ALP 17.1%
Mallee (VIC) NAT 15.7% Fraser (VIC) ALP 18.1%
Bradfield (NSW) LIB 16.6% Sydney (NSW) ALP 18.7%
Gippsland (VIC) NAT 16.7% Calwell (VIC) ALP 19.6%
Parkes (NSW) NAT 16.9% Scullin (VIC) ALP 21.7%
Mitchell (NSW) LIB 18.6%
Barker (SA) LIB 18.9% Indi (VIC) IND 1.4% vs LIB
Cook (NSW) LIB 19.0% Mayo (SA) CA 5.1% vs LIB
Riverina (NSW) NAT 19.5% Warringah (NSW) IND 7.2% vs LIB
Nicholls (VIC) NAT 20.0% Kennedy (Qld) KAP 13.3% vs LNP
Groom (QLD) LNP 20.5% Melbourne (VIC) GRN 21.8% vs LIB
Maranoa (QLD) LNP 22.5% vs ON Clark (TAS) IND 22.1% vs ALP