Pendulum – NSW 2027

The following table shows all Legislative Assembly electorates to be contested at the 2027 NSW state election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin.

Labor Seats Coalition Seats
Seat Margin Seat Margin
Penrith ALP 1.6% Ryde LIB 0.1%
East Hills ALP 1.7% Holsworthy LIB 0.4%
Monaro ALP 2.3% Oatley LIB 0.8%
Camden ALP 3.0% Terrigal LIB 1.2%
Riverstone ALP 3.7% Goulburn LIB 1.3%
South Coast ALP 3.8% Drummoyne LIB 1.3%
The Entrance ALP 7.8% Winston Hills LIB 1.8%
Liverpool ALP 8.3% Miranda LIB 2.3%
Parramatta ALP 8.6% Willoughby LIB 2.6% vs IND
Prospect ALP 8.7% Tweed NAT 3.6%
Leppington ALP 8.9% Upper Hunter NAT 3.8%
Heathcote ALP 9.9% Epping LIB 4.8%
Kiama ALP 10.2% Manly LIB 4.8% vs IND
Bega ALP 10.4% Lane Cove LIB 5.5%
Cabramatta ALP 11.8% North Shore LIB 5.7% vs IND
Coogee ALP 12.3% Hornsby LIB 8.0%
Strathfield ALP 13.0% Hawkesbury LIB 9.8%
Londonderry ALP 13.7% Badgerys Creek LIB 10.5%
Lismore ALP 15.0% Wahroonga LIB 10.6%
Rockdale ALP 15.4% Port Macquarie LIB 10.8%
Gosford ALP 15.4% Castle Hill LIB 10.9%
Swansea ALP 15.4% Kellyville LIB 11.0%
Summer Hill ALP 16.3% vs GRN Oxley NAT 12.8%
Shellharbour ALP 17.1% vs IND Vaucluse LIB 12.9% vs IND
Kogarah ALP 18.3% Coffs Harbour NAT 13.2%
Maitland ALP 18.6% Cronulla LIB 13.8%
Maroubra ALP 18.7% Davidson LIB 13.9%
Port Stephens ALP 19.0% Clarence NAT 14.3%
Blacktown ALP 19.1% Tamworth NAT 15.8% vs IND
Wyong ALP 19.8% Myall Lakes NAT 15.8%
Macquarie Fields ALP 19.9% Albury LIB 16.3%
Bankstown ALP 20.3% Dubbo NAT 18.6%
Fairfield ALP 20.9% Bathurst NAT 23.6%
Charlestown ALP 21.1% Cootamundra NAT 32.1%
Granville ALP 21.5% Northern Tablelands NAT 33.8%
Blue Mountains ALP 21.9%
Mount Druitt ALP 22.4% Wollondilly IND 1.5% vs LIB
Newcastle ALP 22.6% Balmain GRN 1.8% vs ALP
Heffron ALP 23.3% Wakehurst IND 4.5% vs LIB
Campbelltown ALP 23.3% Pittwater IND 5.9% vs LIB
Cessnock ALP 23.4% vs ON Ballina GRN 7.7% vs NAT
Auburn ALP 24.0% Newtown GRN 12.1% vs ALP
Keira ALP 24.2% Sydney IND 15.6% vs ALP
Wollongong ALP 24.3% Barwon IND 16.0% vs NAT
Canterbury ALP 25.8% Murray IND 16.0% vs NAT
Wallsend ALP 31.8% Orange IND 21.9% vs NAT
Wagga Wagga IND 22.4% vs NAT
Lake Macquarie IND 24.1% vs ALP