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One of the few seats i expect to swing to Labor in TPP terms versus Libs. in 1992 Thomastown, Broadmeadows were among a few to swing to Labor despite a landslide loss.
There will be an increased vote for Victorian Socialists especially in the more Muslim parts of the seat
Agreed Nimalan,
Its quite possible Labor could have a slight rebound in the ttp.
@ SpaceFish
I would say Greenvale, Broadmeadows, Thomastown and St Albans all low SES seats should swing back not back to 2022 levels somwhere in between. Areas with large Muslim communities should see a Freedom Party to Victorian Socialists/Greens primary swing which should happen in TPP we saw that in the Federal level as well where there was a UAP to Greens/Socialists swing in high Muslim areas.
It seems from what I’ve seen on some of the media that there have been a few drive by shootings so perhaps the crime message could cut through here.
Yea but those criminals are voting labor so this seat won’t change.
This seat has always had an extremely high crime rate and has always voted Labor. Same with Dandenong, and Laverton (and it’s predecessors). The only seat with a very high crime I can recall the Liberals winning in my lifetime is Frankston.