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Technically Epping is a marginal seat. I’m not sure how much of a personal vote Perrottet had or if he had kept the swing to a minimum. The Liberal result at the last general election was the lowest ever in the seat’s history.
There has been a lot of densification and high-rise apartments popping up and Epping has transformed into a commercial and transport hub in recent years.
Don’t think Perrottet had much of a personal vote. He’s kept switching seats every election and 2023 was on the second time he contested Epping. Federal results are disastrous in this part of Sydney. The booths in the suburb of Epping itself recorded 70+% TPP to Labor. Besides Oatlands, every single booth would be won by Labor, some by hefty margins.
The differences between recent federal results and the last state results are quite staggering. The federal swings to Labor were a function of changing demographics, Andrew Charlton’s sophomore surge and a repudiation of the federal Liberals and a disastrous Liberal campaign. There was a strong Greens/teal vote in Beecroft.
It’s still too early to tell. I reckon that this is one worth watching in the lead-up to the election because of the federal results, the changing demographics and the long-term decline of the Liberal vote in Epping.
I think it’s more of a reflection on the liberal campaign. Charlton is a parachute he lives the goodlife in sydney s wealthy bayside suburbs. The swing is similar to other nsw seats. This seat was in play Right until the campaign started