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@Marh,
I noticed later that was what she was doing which is extremely unfortunate.
I wonder if Bernie Finn could be the One Nation Leader for Victoria? If he does, would he run in the Western Metropolitan Region again or in the seat of Sunbury (he lives is Bulla and was an MP in that seat under the name ‘Tullamarine’ during his first stint)?
Moira Deeming has been disendorsed in a 17-0 Executive vote. I still doubt she end up going quietly. Some speculation that she might go to the Libertarians.
She no longer has a personal interest is seeing the Liberals do well in November so i think she will be a loose Cannon she has nothing to loose now. With Parliamentary privelege in the remaining months she can air as much as she wants and it will be on Hansard forever. In addition to the Libertarians she also may consider DLP or Family First.
Moira seems to have got herself into a whole series of messes. There is a story today in the The Australian – behind the paywall so could only see beginning – that she is being pursued for the money put up by one of her previous financial backers so could face bankruptcy. Yes, she could use parliamentary privilege to air whatever though there are probably not too many sitting days left. If the GVT changes are made she is finished wherever she goes.
I personally feel Moira Deeming would have better off in a minor party from the start than one of the two makor parties Family First is probably the most appropriate party. I think it was Peta Credlin who convinced her to stay and fight from within if it was not for Sky After Dark i think she may have defected. I think Labor is different in that they have accepted that there will always be parties further left so i dont think the Labor party is interested in people in having people such as Mehreen Faruqi or Lidia Thrope in their party room. They have accepted that the Greens will always win Upper house seats and their strategy to counter them in lower house seats is to focus on having MPs like Ged Kearney in Cooper who are well liked locally but dont destablise the party room. I think Sarah Witty in Melbourne will be like that. However, one isssue that Credlin has said that when Coalition looses votes to their right flank is that they dont get a diciplined flow of preferences like Greens to Labor, often this means they fear loosing votes on their right flank rather than capturing centrist swing voters.
Early prediction for Western Metro: 1 ALP, 1 Lib, 1 Green, 1 ONP, 1 West Party
@Andrew from 3040: Are you assuming that group ticket voting is abolished?
@Andrew from 3040: I am not sure that Labor will lose the second seat, with or without group voting tickets. It will be a very terrible and shocking result for Labor to lose the second seat. Without group voting tickets, I think 2 ALP, 1 Lib, 0 Green, 1 ONP, 1 West Party will be a more realistic result.
West Party looks good on paper, but I’m not sure at this stage that they are actually having much impact on the ground to the point where they could out-compete the main parties at this stage
ALP 1
ONP 1
LIB 1
GRN 1
With Labor and ONP in a battle for the 5th seat is how I currently see it