ALP 12.3%
Incumbent MP
Dylan Wight, since 2022.
Geography
South-Western Melbourne. Tarneit covers northern parts of the City of Wyndham, including the suburbs of Tarneit, Truganina and Hoppers Crossing.
History
Tarneit has only existed as an electoral district since 2002, and it has been won by the ALP at every election.
Tarneit was won in 2002 by Mary Gillett. She had previously won the seat of Werribee in 1996 and 1999, but her seat was abolished for the 2002 election.
Gillett was defeated for preselection before the 2006 election by Tim Pallas, former chief of staff to Premier Steve Bracks. Tim Pallas was re-elected in 2010, and retired in 2014.
Telmo Languiller shifted to Tarneit in 2014. He had previously represented seats in the same area since 1999.
Languiller was elected Speaker after the 2014 election. Languiller was forced to resign as Speaker in early 2017 after it emerged that he had claimed an allowance for a house far outside of his electorate.
Languiller retired in 2018, and Labor’s Sarah Connolly won Tarneit. Connolly moved to the new seat of Laverton in 2022, and Dylan Wight won Tarneit.
- Andrew Elsbury (West Party)
- Jaydeep Patel (New Democrats)
- Rifai Raheem (Greens)
- Leah Van Koulen (Victorian Socialists)
- Dylan Wight (Labor)
Assessment
Labor will likely hold this seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Dylan Wight | Labor | 18,173 | 46.6 | -9.8 |
| Preet Singh | Liberal | 10,438 | 26.8 | +0.9 |
| Clare Miller | Greens | 2,883 | 7.4 | -0.3 |
| Claudio Uribe | Victorian Socialists | 2,072 | 5.3 | +5.3 |
| Thomas Jeffrey | Family First | 1,977 | 5.1 | +5.1 |
| Jaydeep Patel | New Democrats | 1,176 | 3.0 | +3.0 |
| Erum Maqsood | Freedom Party | 882 | 2.3 | +2.3 |
| Maurita Rahn | Animal Justice | 843 | 2.2 | +2.2 |
| Aijaz Moinuddin | Independent | 534 | 1.4 | +1.4 |
| Informal | 2,946 | 7.0 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Dylan Wight | Labor | 24,276 | 62.3 | -5.6 |
| Preet Singh | Liberal | 14,701 | 37.7 | +5.6 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: north, south-east and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 60.7% in the north to 65.4% in the south-east.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 61.8 | 5,091 | 13.0 |
| North | 60.7 | 4,630 | 11.9 |
| South-East | 65.4 | 3,244 | 8.3 |
| Pre-poll | 62.4 | 20,890 | 53.5 |
| Other votes | 63.8 | 5,193 | 13.3 |
Election results in Tarneit at the 2022 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
The Tarneit population has exploded here and like many Western suburb seats there is angry that infrastructure is lagging. If the neighbouring seat of Werribee is competitive I suspect that this seat could get uncomfortably close in 2026 if the Liberals pickup their game which they don’t appear to be at the moment.
Don’t think Jacinta Price’s comments about Indian migrants would be very popular here. Labor will most certainly re-emphasise them come election time.
I agree with @Dan M i cannot see Libs winning it margin is pretty big and i think growth is helping Labor here bringing more CALD residents. There is also significant Muslim community here unlike Point Cook especially around Hoppers Crossing. Werribee as some white working class residents in the older parts which is why it is more competative.
There are many N-W Melbourne seats the Liberals can still win but this ain’t one of them
Tarneit Train Station is the busiest in Victoria outside the CBD. I can understand the anger and despair due to lagging infrastructure. The population has grown due to suburban sprawl. There’s a new train station in West Tarneit in the works. It might reduce some of the anger.
Longer term they need electrification of the Wyndham vale line to seperate regional and suburban commuters.
Dylan wight renominating apparently.