Vaucluse – NSW 2027

It’s been reported in the Sydney Morning Herald Liberals are expecting a leadership spill, and Kellie Sloane will be installed as opposition leader. The Guardian reported this week as well, but it looks like other media outlets are now confirming this.

There has been speculation that a leadership spill looks imminent. SMH reports that Kellie Sloane is the frontrunner with Alistair Henskins as a less likely possibility. It could even happen this week. If she becomes leader, it would be the third branch of the Liberal Party to get a new leader this month (following ACT and VIC).

Not to mention, if Sloane is successful, two of the three new Liberal leaders this month are in their first terms.

The delay is Kellie Sloane wants it done cleanly and given to her. But Alister Henskens is prepared to roll Mark Speakman. It’s been consistently reported Sloane has more support. I can see why Sloane wants it done that way. She’s a woman, Julia Gillard was given a lot of grief on this front, probably more so than the men chopping down a leader. And secondly, she’s a 1st-term MP, and it can be seen as a bit of an upstart jumping the queue like it was with John Brogden challenging Kerry Chikarovski. Sloane is 52, though, Brogden was 33, and Brogden wasn’t a first-term MP, so there are some differences on this front. But there are similarities.

It looks like it’s going to happen today. Kevin Rudd said it best, “Once the dogs of war are unleashed, it’s very difficult to get them back under control”.

The Daily Telegraph has information that Kellie Sloane has 19 of the 33 MPs’ support for a spill. Apparently, Chris Rath has been the ringleader of the challenge, as he, Scott Farlow, and James Wallace approached Mark Speakman in his office about the situation.

Speakman has been defiant this morning, but a consensus seems to be building that he will be pushed out. Henskens doesn’t have the numbers against Sloane. There was also consideration given to the fact that Jenny Ware will not challenge Eleni Petinos in Miranda. Petinos had expressed support for Henskens, and the price for Ware to back down is switching to Sloane.

The feeling has been that, unlike Battin in Victoria, Speakman has been virtually invisible over the last two years. His name ID in polling has been unusually low for a major party leader.

So, in a week, we will have a new Liberal leader in Victoria and a new Nats leader in NSW. Elections in SA are just around the corner, but they are a forgone conclusion. Crisafulli is premier in QLD. Basil Zampilas has been on the job in WA for only 8 months. Who is left that could fall (in any party)?

Mark Speakman to now stand down as Opposition Leader, with Kellie Sloane set to take over. https://www.afr.com/politics/kellie-sloane-set-to-lead-nsw-liberals-after-speakman-quits-20251120-p5nh45

Spill-y season in full swing, it seems.

We will get confirmation tomorrow. On his way out, Mark Speakman gave an endorsement of Kellie Sloane. It was Sloane who tapped him on the shoulder today say his time was up.

Craig the only leader up for a spill will be sa after the obvious drubbing at the election. I hope the state labor clean house of the useless lib members.

Methinks that Labor will always refer to Kellie Sloane as the “Member for Vaucluse” rather than “Liberal Leader” or “Opposition Leader”.

Kellie Sloane is set to be elected unopposed as the next Liberal leader and thus the next LOTO after an endorsement from outgoing leader Mark Speakman.

Despite being 52, as a well-spoken moderate woman she should have some idea of how to appeal to younger female voters who are increasingly turning to more progressive parties and candidates.

The NSW Liberals remain committed to net zero and expanding Sydney’s metro network.

I endorse her for the leadership.

Kellie Sloane has been elected leader unopposed.

If she plays her cards right, she could help sandbag traditional Liberal seats by Sydney Harbour or even deter teal independents from running. The wildcard factor is the federal Liberals drag on the state Liberal brand.

The state Liberals have an inherent advantage over the teals and that is OPV. The teals depend on preferences from Labor and Greens voters. At the state level, some votes for Labor and the Greens will exhaust. This means the preference flows to the teals are weaker than at the federal level.

Kellie Sloane is now the second MP for Vaucluse to serve as party leader, with former MP Peter Debnam serving as Liberal Party and Opposition leader about 20 years ago.

Murray Robson was the first member for Vaucluse to serve as Liberal Party leader and Opposition leader.

Opv should be replaced by.full.preferential

State parliament has been recalled for next week for a condolence motion and also for gun laws.

The gun debate could test Kellie Sloane’s leadership. I recognise there’s sadness and anguish throughout the community following the recent terrorist attack. No doubt, she feels an obligation to act. Her electorate not only contains the iconic Bondi Beach but also the largest Jewish population in NSW.

There may be some revolt from Nationals and rural and regional Liberals who oppose gun reform or fear pushback from their electorates. It could be a pivotal issue that hurts the Nationals in Murray, Barwon and Orange – seats all held by ex-SFF independents. On this issue, the state coalition and federal coalition might go their seperate ways.

I reckon they can strengthen gun laws without infringing on citizens rights. Find a middle ground.

There is only so much the State can do on this outside of looking into the very real issue of policing. Sloane can make some statements in support of some Federal legislation that is outside of her bailiwicks. Most of the effective actions have to come from Canberra.

I am loathe to think about the politics of this so quickly but unless some scandal develops out of the NSW police over their procedures during the attack I think that most of whatever fallout occurs will be at the Federal level.

@votante and what if those ex sff support the gun laws? Will that help the Nats?

I would really like to praise Kellie Sloane’s courage and leadership during and in the aftermath of the most devastating attack on her community. She attended the Hanukkah event at Bondi Beach and saw first-hand the scenes of horror and carnage. She got bundled into a community ambulance. She helped people and calmed kids down, helped paramedics, and even tried to pull people like Jewish leader Arsen Ostrovsky away from danger.

Unlike many of her federal Coalition colleagues such as Sussan Ley and Bridget McKenzie and some former Coalition politicians such as John Howard and Josh Frydenberg, who politicised the tragedy and tried to score political points by criticising the PM or even turn this into an immigration issue, she refuses to make this a political moment or to blame anyone else other than the perpetrators for the attack. She is solely focusing on her community and the wider Jewish community in NSW. She has been providing regular updates to community members, comforting mourners and survivors, attending funerals of victims and meeting with Jewish community members of NSW to express her solidarity. Courageous, compassionate and empathetic. This is what leadership looks like. The Bondi Beach shooting has arguably been the greatest test of leadership for her, and I think she totally smashed it. We need more political leaders like Kellie Sloane.

Kellie Sloane was there on the night and was more of an eyewitness than any other state or federal MP. She was doing interviews on the same night. I also commend her for her leadership and solidarity.

@John, according to their FB pages, they’re sceptical of gun reform. The 3 ex-SFF independents all got reelected by big margins in 2023.

I’m aware of the 3 murray is the most likely for the nats to win. By my own draft redistribution either Barwon or Murray will have to move into the other. I’ve moved Barwon into Murray. And Helen will be 68 at the next election 72 at the one after that. In wagga mcgirr would be 67 and 71 respectively those might be their best hope. There’s also the fact if the minns govt falls deeper into minority they may be needed to pick a side.

Does Vaucluse include Bondi Beach ?

yes thats why Sloane was there……

John Howard helped the Liberals out by stating the 1998 Gun Laws acheived their aim, which was to get Automatic and semiautomatic weapons out of the hands of the general public.
Kelly Sloane has totally dropped the ball on this, effectively taking the Minns/Labor position. Her leadership, such as it is, would be terminal from this point on.

Sloane appears to be the rare Liberal who would rather work with, not against, the government to improve the short term situation moving forward. By doing so, she is achieving more than the likes of Ley, Hastie, Howard and Hanson put together.

Sloane has accepted the Labor position, which is confiscate guns from licence holders. That’s not leadership, that’s abject surrender.
Clearly, she just hasn’t got the goods and it was a mistake to replace Speakman with a nonentity.
Liberals went thru this in the Wran Era, successive leaders had no point of difference to Labor.

Maybe, in the wake of a national tragedy, not every decision and action needs to be made and analysed looking through political lens.

Yet that’s been Minns’s and Albanese’s response, they’ve politicised it from day 1
Guns don’t cause AntiSemitism, neither does freedom of assembly, Howard gave the clueless Liberal leaders a way forward but they’re too weak to do anything other than parrot Labor talking points.

What planet are you on, Gympie – I’d be anonymous too making an inane comment like that. Albanese and Minns have politicised it? Did you not see Ley’s initial statement? And Howard’s, and Abbot’s and Frydenberg’s – bloody hell!

Albo and Minns have absolutely tried to steer this into more politically friendly territory with typical ‘rally around the flag’ talking points on guns, hate speech laws etc, continuing to offer vague directives about the ‘dangers’ of ‘right wing extremism’ and ‘sovereign citizens’ whilst being unwilling to stomach the term ‘radical Islam’ which is clearly applicable here.

No doubt the Liberals went in hard too but at least in their case they had already been trying to politicise the issue beforehand (remember the Joy Division shirt thing?!) and can point to the attack as some sort of vindication of their original stance, Hastie too on migration is just reiterating talking points he’s already been going with since the election.

I don’t really like either approach, seemed everyone was keen to spin a narrative from the moment the shots were fired, I guess this is the modern news cycle. I don’t particularly think either Labor or the Coalition are justified in their rhetoric – saying Albo or other Labor leaders have ‘blood on their hands’ is far from helpful, desperate rushed responses to try and look busy and manage PR after a tragedy are equally unimpressive to me personally