ALP 8.7%
Incumbent MP
Hugh McDermott, since 2015.
Geography
Western Sydney. Prospect covers parts of Blacktown, Fairfield and Cumberland local council areas, including the suburbs of Girraween, Greystanes, Pemulwuy, Prairiewood and parts of Blacktown, Seven Hills, Smithfield, Toongabbie, Wentworthville and Wetherill Park.
History
Prospect was created as a new seat in 2015, but effectively replaced Smithfield, which had existed as an electoral district since 1988. It has been won by Labor at all but one election since 1988.
Smithfield was first won by Janice Crosio. She had won the seat of Fairfield in 1981 and 1984, moving to Smithfield in 1988. She had served as a minister in the Labor state government from 1984 to 1988. She resigned from Smithfield to run for the federal seat of Prospect. She held Prospect from 1990 to 2004. She served as a parliamentary secretary in the Labor federal government from 1993 to 1996.
The 1990 Smithfield by-election was won by Carl Scully. He joined the ministry when the ALP won power in 1995. He planned to run for leader of the ALP upon Bob Carr’s retirement in 2005, but withdrew when it was clear that Morris Iemma would win the contest. Scully was forced to resign as a minister in late 2006, and he retired from Smithfield in 2007.
Scully was succeeded in 2007 by Fairfield councillor Ninos Khoshaba. In 2011, he lost to Liberal candidate Andrew Rohan with a 20% swing.
Labor’s Hugh McDermott won the renamed seat of Prospect in 2015, and he was re-elected in 2019 and 2023.
Assessment
This section will be filled in closer to the election.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Hugh McDermott | Labor | 24,519 | 49.3 | -1.0 |
| Kalvin Biag | Liberal | 17,903 | 36.0 | -0.3 |
| Sujan Selventhiran | Greens | 3,610 | 7.3 | +2.5 |
| Peter Shafer | Sustainable Australia | 1,892 | 3.8 | +3.8 |
| Emily Walsh | Animal Justice | 1,775 | 3.6 | +1.1 |
| Informal | 2,375 | 4.6 |
2023 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Hugh McDermott | Labor | 27,175 | 58.7 | +0.1 |
| Kalvin Biag | Liberal | 19,137 | 41.3 | -0.1 |
Booths in Prospect have been split into three parts: east, north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 55.1% in the south to 63.5% in the north.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 58.0 | 11,535 | 23.2 |
| North | 63.5 | 9,980 | 20.1 |
| South | 55.1 | 4,357 | 8.8 |
| Pre-poll | 57.3 | 13,611 | 27.4 |
| Other votes | 58.1 | 10,216 | 20.6 |
Election results in Prospect at the 2023 NSW state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.