Pendulum – Australia 2016

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates to be contested at the 2016 federal election, ordered according to two-party-preferred margin.

Coalition SeatsLabor Seats
SeatMarginSeatMargin
Petrie (QLD)LNP 0.5%Dobell (NSW)ALP 0.2%
Capricornia (QLD)LNP 0.8%McEwen (VIC)ALP 0.2%
O’Connor (WA)LIB 1% vs NATPaterson (NSW)ALP 0.4%
Lyons (TAS)LIB 1.2%Lingiari (NT)ALP 0.9%
Solomon (NT)CLP 1.4%Bendigo (VIC)ALP 1.3%
Hindmarsh (SA)LIB 1.9%Lilley (QLD)ALP 1.3%
Braddon (TAS)LIB 2.6%Parramatta (NSW)ALP 1.3%
Banks (NSW)LIB 2.8%Chisholm (VIC)ALP 1.6%
Eden-Monaro (NSW)LIB 2.9%Moreton (QLD)ALP 1.6%
Lindsay (NSW)LIB 3.0%Richmond (NSW)ALP 1.6%
Page (NSW)NAT 3.1%Bruce (VIC)ALP 1.8%
Robertson (NSW)LIB 3.1%Perth (WA)ALP 2.2%
Deakin (VIC)LIB 3.2%Kingsford Smith (NSW)ALP 2.7%
Macarthur (NSW)LIB 3.3%Greenway (NSW)ALP 3.0%
Reid (NSW)LIB 3.4%Griffith (QLD)ALP 3.0%
Bonner (QLD)LNP 3.7%Jagajaga (VIC)ALP 3.1%
Gilmore (NSW)LIB 3.8%Wakefield (SA)ALP 3.4%
Durack (NSW)LIB 3.9% vs NATMelbourne Ports (VIC)ALP 3.6%
Corangamite (VIC)LIB 3.9%Brand (WA)ALP 3.7%
Bass (TAS)LIB 4.0%Oxley (QLD)ALP 3.8%
La Trobe (VIC)LIB 4.0%Adelaide (SA)ALP 3.9%
Brisbane (QLD)LNP 4.3%Isaacs (VIC)ALP 3.9%
Forde (QLD)LNP 4.4%Barton (NSW)ALP 4.4%
Cowan (WA)LIB 4.5%McMahon (NSW)ALP 4.6%
Macquarie (NSW)LIB 4.5%Rankin (QLD)ALP 4.8%
Dunkley (VIC)LIB 5.6%Ballarat (VIC)ALP 4.9%
Leichhardt (QLD)LNP 5.7%Franklin (TAS)ALP 5.1%
Hasluck (WA)LIB 6.0%Makin (SA)ALP 5.1%
Burt (WA)LIB 6.1%Blair (QLD)ALP 5.3%
Herbert (QLD)LNP 6.2%Fremantle (WA)ALP 5.4%
Flynn (QLD)LNP 6.5%Hunter (NSW)ALP 5.7%
Dickson (QLD)LNP 6.7%Werriwa (NSW)ALP 6.5%
Longman (QLD)LNP 6.9%Whitlam (NSW)ALP 6.9%
Boothby (SA)LIB 7.1%Hotham (VIC)ALP 7.3%
Casey (VIC)LIB 7.2%Shortland (NSW)ALP 7.4%
Swan (WA)LIB 7.3%Canberra (ACT)ALP 7.5%
Dawson (QLD)LNP 7.6%Corio (VIC)ALP 7.7%
Bennelong (NSW)LIB 7.8%Watson (NSW)ALP 8.9%
Aston (VIC)LIB 8.2%Holt (VIC)ALP 9.1%
Ryan (QLD)LNP 8.5%Newcastle (NSW)ALP 9.4%
Bowman (QLD)LNP 8.9%Kingston (SA)ALP 9.7%
Hinkler (QLD)LNP 9.0%Batman (VIC)ALP 10.6% vs GRN
Stirling (WA)LIB 9.0%Chifley (NSW)ALP 10.9%
Pearce (WA)LIB 9.3%Blaxland (NSW)ALP 11.2%
Fisher (QLD)LNP 9.8%Cunningham (NSW)ALP 11.3%
Higgins (VIC)LIB 9.9%Maribyrnong (VIC)ALP 11.4%
Sturt (SA)LIB 10.1%Lalor (VIC)ALP 12.2%
Wannon (VIC)LIB 10.1%Fenner (ACT)ALP 12.5%
Goldstein (VIC)LIB 11.0%Fowler (NSW)ALP 12.9%
Kooyong (VIC)LIB 11.1%Sydney (NSW)ALP 12.9%
Canning (WA)LIB 11.3%Calwell (VIC)ALP 13.9%
Flinders (VIC)LIB 11.8%Port Adelaide (SA)ALP 14.0%
Hughes (NSW)LIB 11.8%Scullin (VIC)ALP 14.3%
McMillan (VIC)LIB 11.8%Wills (VIC)ALP 15.2% vs GRN
Wright (QLD)LNP 11.8%Gorton (VIC)ALP 16.1%
Moore (WA)LIB 12.4%Gellibrand (VIC)ALP 16.5%
Mayo (SA)LIB 12.5%Grayndler (NSW)ALP 18.8%
McPherson (QLD)LNP 13.0%
Tangney (WA)LIB 13.0%
Cowper (NSW)NAT 13.2%
Wide Bay (QLD)LNP 13.2%
Grey (SA)LIB 13.5%
Hume (NSW)LIB 13.6%
Lyne (NSW)NAT 13.6%
Forrest (WA)LIB 13.8%
Fadden (QLD)LNP 14.4%
Menzies (VIC)LIB 14.4%
Calare (NSW)NAT 15.0%
Warringah (NSW)LIB 15.3%
North Sydney (NSW)LIB 15.7%
Cook (NSW)LIB 15.8%
Gippsland (VIC)NAT 15.8%
Barker (SA)LIB 16.5%
Groom (QLD)LNP 16.5%
Moncrieff (QLD)LNP 18.0%
Curtin (WA)LIB 18.2%
Mackellar (NSW)LIB 18.8%
Wentworth (NSW)LIB 18.9%
Berowra (NSW)LIB 19.0%
Riverina (NSW)NAT 19.0%
New England (NSW)NAT 19.6%
Parkes (NSW)NAT 19.9%
Bradfield (NSW)LIB 20.9%
Murray (VIC)LIB 20.9%Fairfax (QLD)PUP 0.03% vs LNP
Mitchell (NSW)LIB 21.4%Indi (VIC)IND 0.3% vs LIB
Farrer (NSW)LIB 21.8%Kennedy (QLD)KAP 2.2% vs LNP
Maranoa (QLD)LNP 22.3%Melbourne (VIC)GRN 5.9% vs ALP
Mallee (VIC)NAT 23.7%Denison (TAS)IND 15.5% vs ALP