Scullin – Australia 2016

ALP 14.3%

Incumbent MP
Andrew Giles, since 2013.

Geography
Outer northern suburbs of Melbourne. A majority of Scullin lies in southern parts of the City of Whittlesea, with other parts in Nillumbik Shire and the City of Banyule. Suburbs include South Morang, Mill Park, Plenty, Thomastown, Lalor and Epping.

History
Scullin has existed since the 1969 election, and in that time has always been held by the Labor Party, and specifically by the Jenkins family.

The seat was first won in 1969 by Harry Jenkins Sr, who had previously been a state Labor MP since 1961. Jenkins was elected Speaker of the House of Representatives upon the election of the Hawke government in 1983. He retired from Parliament in late 1985.

The 1986 Scullin by-election was won by Harry Jenkins Jr, son of the former MP. The younger Jenkins served as Deputy Speaker from 1993 to 2007, and he was elected Speaker in early 2008 after the election of the Rudd government. Jenkins was re-elected in 2010, stood down as Speaker in 2011, and retired in 2013.

Labor’s Andrew Giles won Scullin in 2013.

Candidates

• Andrew Giles (Labor)
• John Matlen (Animal Justice)
• Melanie Stockman (Liberal)
• Rose Ljubicic (Greens)
• Adriana Buccianti (Drug Law Reform)

Assessment
Scullin is a safe Labor seat.

2013 result

2013 two-party-preferred result

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas: east, central and west. Those polling places in Nillumbik Shire have been grouped as “east”, with those in Banyule and Whittlesea grouped as “west” and “central”.

The Labor two-party-preferred vote varied significantly, from 50.7% in the east to 74.7% in the west.