The Tally Room

Now that we have a complete two-party-preferred vote for all of Australia, we can look at the distribution of seat margins and swings across the country. For this post, I have produced a number of charts which show the distribution of seats by two-party-preferred result,...

It has barely been two weeks since the no confidence motion passed, and just over a week since the Tasmanian state election has been called, but the candidates are coming out of the woodwork very quickly. I have now updated my election guide to feature...

I've previously posted a number of times before about the dataset I have compiled of election results since 2004, adjusted for 2025 electoral boundaries. Most recently, prior to the election, I specifically did a comparison of the 2007 and 2022 electoral map: two elections with...

Last week I wrote about the dilemma of how to estimate a two-party-preferred vote in Bradfield. An actual two-party-preferred count has not been conducted between Liberal and Labor in that seat, and may not be conducted for some time. At the time I attempted...

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the collapse of the Tasmanian government just 15 months after the last election, and to look at some of the early moves for independents to find a new party home. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s...

The Australian Electoral Commission conducts a two-party-preferred vote in every seat, which is a count between Labor and the leading Liberal or Nationals candidate. In seats where the two-candidate-preferred vote is not Labor vs Coalition, they do the count later. With 35 seats now...

While there's a lot of similarities in how Australians vote between the House and the Senate, they've never voted exactly the same. For a start, there are more options on the Senate ballot paper than the House ballot paper. Small parties will not run...

While my focus has been very much on the federal election, events have been developing in Tasmania, which culminated in a vote of no confidence on Thursday. The premier, Jeremy Rockliff, has plans to visit the Governor on Tuesday to ask for an early election....

For this podcast Ben interviews two scrutineers about their experience in the recounts: Adelaide, a Liberal scrutineer from Bradfield, and KJ, an independent scrutineer from Goldstein. Ben also discusses the recount procedures he saw in Bradfield last week and the latest count updates from...

We are still waiting for the final 2PP figures - they've finished in 149 seats and have even started the 2PP count in Bradfield now - but we now have basically all of the two-candidate-preferred figures in. We may not know the final Bradfield...