The Tally Room

With the resignation of Gareth Ward this morning, shortly before his expected expulsion from Parliament, a by-election will be needed to replace him in Parliament. The Kiama by-election should happen soon, likely in September. I won't be delving into the issues around Ward's legal situation,...

There has been a clear trend in all Australian elections over the last twenty years of voters moving away from voting on election day, with an increasing number of voters choosing pre-poll voting as an alternative. Tasmania has lagged behind the rest of the country...

Now that we have the final booth results for the Tasmanian state election, I've decided to add another chapter to a series of blog posts analysing the geographic trends of individual candidates within each party within each electorate. You can read my blog posts...

Casting a formal vote in a Tasmanian lower house election isn't the easiest vote to cast, but in some ways it's easier than it would be in other places. Voters are required to number at least as many boxes as there are vacancies - that...

While the overall seat numbers in the Tasmanian House of Assembly have been very stable, that disguises more changes at the level of the individual MP. For today's post I am going to look at the statistics for how many MPs were replaced at each...

If you've been following my live blog, you would have seen that the preference count in the Tasmanian state election finished on Saturday, with the count in Bass being in doubt right up until the end. Most seats ended up going to the candidates who...

Tasmania's Hare-Clark system is proportional, but it's not purely proportional. Each division elects seven members, and results are not just about how many votes each party receives - results are dependent on how preferences flow and how votes split within each party's ticket. Yet the...

12:47pm - George Razay has been elected in Bass - not even for the seventh seat, but the sixth. Razay ended up on 6968 votes, with Jess Greene on 6555 votes and Geoff Lyons on 6294. So Lyons misses out. This means the Assembly has 14...

During the federal election count, I identified a number of issues with the data being published by the AEC. Two main issues emerged, where the AEC's estimates did not seem to be correct. I have been publishing a data repository for some years now, and...

Now that the Parliament has officially opened for its first sitting after the federal election, we're off to the races with redrawing the electoral map for the next federal election, expected in 2028. No rest for the wicked. The redistributions in this parliamentary term are...