Pendulum – NSW 2023

The following table shows all Legislative Assembly electorates to be contested at the 2023 NSW state election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin.

Coalition SeatsLabor Seats
SeatMarginSeatMargin
East HillsLIB 0.1%KogarahALP 0.3%
Upper HunterNAT 0.6%LeppingtonALP 1.5%
PenrithLIB 0.6%LismoreALP 1.8%
DubboNAT 2.0% vs INDHeathcoteALP 2.1%
GoulburnLIB 3.1%CoogeeALP 2.1%
TweedNAT 5.0%LondonderryALP 3.0%
Winston HillsLIB 5.4%BegaALP 5.1%
WollondillyLIB 6.0% vs INDThe EntranceALP 5.2%
RiverstoneLIB 6.2%StrathfieldALP 5.2%
HolsworthyLIB 6.2%Port StephensALP 5.8%
ParramattaLIB 6.3%GosfordALP 7.1%
CamdenLIB 7.4%MaroubraALP 8.4%
OatleyLIB 7.4%ProspectALP 8.8%
RydeLIB 9.0%GranvilleALP 8.8%
Myall LakesNAT 9.2%RockdaleALP 10.0%
Badgerys CreekLIB 9.7%SwanseaALP 10.6%
Coffs HarbourNAT 10.3% vs INDCabramattaALP 12.0% vs IND
South CoastLIB 10.6%CharlestownALP 13.0%
EppingLIB 10.9%WyongALP 13.0%
North ShoreLIB 11.1% vs INDAuburnALP 13.4%
MonaroNAT 11.6%Blue MountainsALP 13.6%
KiamaLIB 12.0%MaitlandALP 14.7%
TerrigalLIB 12.3%Macquarie FieldsALP 14.8%
ManlyLIB 13.1% vs GRNHeffronALP 15.0%
DrummoyneLIB 13.7%CanterburyALP 15.6%
MirandaLIB 14.2%CampbelltownALP 16.3%
ClarenceNAT 14.5%FairfieldALP 16.6%
Lane CoveLIB 14.7%BlacktownALP 16.6%
OxleyNAT 15.4%NewcastleALP 17.6%
AlburyLIB 15.9%LiverpoolALP 17.6%
HornsbyLIB 16.8%KeiraALP 18.3%
HawkesburyLIB 17.0%Mount DruittALP 18.4%
BathurstNAT 17.9%ShellharbourALP 18.6%
WahroongaLIB 19.1%CessnockALP 19.8%
CronullaLIB 19.6%BankstownALP 20.5%
VaucluseLIB 19.7% vs GRNSummer HillALP 21.6%
Port MacquarieNAT 20.1%WollongongALP 22.4%
TamworthNAT 20.2% vs INDWallsendALP 25.9%
WilloughbyLIB 20.7%
PittwaterLIB 20.8% vs GRNMurraySFF 3.5% vs NAT
WakehurstLIB 21.8%BallinaGRN 4.9% vs NAT
Castle HillLIB 22.4%BarwonSFF 6.6% vs NAT
KellyvilleLIB 23.0%BalmainGRN 10.0% vs ALP
DavidsonLIB 25.0% vs GRNNewtownGRN 11.5% vs ALP
CootamundraNAT 26.7%SydneyIND 13.7% vs LIB
Northern TablelandsNAT 33.3%OrangeSFF 15.2% vs NAT
Wagga WaggaIND 15.5% vs NAT
Lake MacquarieIND 23.4% vs ALP