Will Victoria abandon proportional representation?

Victoria's Legislative Council is today considering legislation which would significantly worsen Victorian council elections by changing the voting system. The bill, amongst other reforms, would...

NSW council elections – estimated votes in new wards

I've previously posted about the new boundaries for wards in 18 NSW councils. I have now finished redistributing the vote totals between wards in these...

Johnston by-election live

8:24pm - We got a final batch of postal votes and it appears we're done for tonight. Labor's vote has dropped from 51% to...

Brisbane City 2020 – candidate update

I published my Brisbane City Council election guide at the end of 2019 and have been focused on other work since then, but I've...

Bundamba by-election scheduled for March 28

Another election in Queensland has been scheduled for the final weekend in March, with a second state by-election announced for that date. March 28 is...

2019 election – major party domination weakens further

This post draws on analysis in my chapter in Morrison's Miracle, a forthcoming book from ANU Press and Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia...

2019 election – winning on the early vote

This post draws on analysis in my chapter in Morrison's Miracle, a forthcoming book from ANU Press and Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia...

NT redistribution – margins published

The Northern Territory's electoral boundaries for territory elections were redrawn last year, but until now I haven't been in a position to calculate the...

Coming soon: the book of the election

I have a chapter coming up in Morrison's Miracle, which is the definitive book covering every aspect of the 2019 federal election. My chapter will cover...

WA redistribution – margins published

It's taken some time as I've waited for some necessary data, but I've now compiled my own margin estimates for the 59 state electorates...