Turnout is up, and election day is down

We are now getting to the point in the election count where all of the primary votes appear to have been counted. We don't...

Observations from the Bradfield recount

I had the opportunity today to visit the Bradfield recount, thanks to being appointed as a scrutineer. I did not attempt to challenge any...

Breaking down the informal vote

The vote count is now getting to a point where pretty much all primary votes have been counted, even if we don't have all...

Senate button pushes – live blog

Thursday 5:43pm - Queensland was much more decisive. On the second-last round: Roberts (ON) - 0.867 quotas Rennick (PF) - 0.506 Jones (LGC) -...

Measuring the independents

One of the big stories of 2025 has been the rise of independents. There was a notable increase in the number of independents who...

Booth map of the day – Banks and Hughes

Today's booth map covers two neighbouring seats in southern Sydney, both of which flipped from Liberal to Labor in 2025. The seat of Banks covers...

The Bradfield recount is on

The AEC finished the distribution of preferences for Bradfield late on Friday night, after a fascinating day that started with teal independent Nicolette Boele...

What can the booth results tell us about the Muslim vote?

For today's post I am looking at how the Muslim vote changed, using some techniques I've previously used to look at voters of Chinese...

Booth map of the day – Bean and Fremantle

Next up on booth map of the day, I'm looking at two seats that were previously considered safe Labor seats, but were very narrowly...

The Nationals dilemma

Yesterday, the Nationals announced that they would not be renewing the coalition with the Liberal Party following the 2025 federal election. This is unlikely...