Measuring marginality beyond the pendulum
When Australian elections were dominated by two major parties, Labor and the Coalition, the pendulum evolved as a simple tool to lay out the...
How preferences flowed in South Australia
We have almost reached the end of the House of Assembly count for the recent South Australian state election. We know the winner in...
Landslide – new book about the 2025 federal election
Over the last ten years I've had the privilege of writing a chapter for the series of academic edited volumes analysing each federal election,...
The shape of the vote in South Australia
We now have results for most seats in the South Australian lower house, with the final distributions of preferences due this week. We also...
South Australian upper house count update
The South Australian Legislative Council has a certain simplicity that means it hasn't been the focus of much analysis.
With just eleven members elected by...
SA federal redistribution live
11:43 - That's it for today. All done within an hour. It's worth noting that if the federal parliament is expanded, this redistribution process...
Preference counts shed light on Labor-One Nation contests
OnThe Electoral Commission of South Australia has been spending the last two days recounting votes in seats where they have had to do a...
Podcast #166 – One Nation surge in South Australia
Ben was joined by Rob Manwaring to look over the results of last Saturday's South Australian state election, in particular the emergence of One...
SA 2026 – the next morning
Last night's election was truly remarkable. Preferential counts had little value, as we grappled with a truly astounding number of three-cornered or even four-cornered...
South Australia election night live
Polls have just closed in South Australia. Tonight I won't be liveblogging here, instead I will be livestreaming online, with a rotating group of...