Which seats swing the most?
Last month I posted an analysis looking at how much seats have moved in terms of their two-party-preferred rank, relative to every other seat...
Early voting update
Today is the fourth day of pre-poll voting, and it seemed like a good time to check in on how many people have voted...
Shaking out bias in the election night count
In Monday's blog post, I ran through the data on the rate at which election results come in on election night: the rate in...
Podcast #73: The Australian Polling Council
We return again today to the polls, talking to two more pollsters from some of Australia's biggest political polls: Campbell White from YouGov/Newspoll and...
The election night time curve
I think those of us who have followed a lot of Australian elections have some instinctive sense of how election night progresses - when...
Who wins the early vote?
As a final part in my series on trends in people voting early, today I'm analysing differences in how people vote, depending on whether...
Getting the nominations balance right
There was a really interesting story in the Guardian yesterday from Michael McGowan and Joe Hinchliffe about a prospective One Nation candidate and his...
Which seats have the highest rates of early voting?
This is a follow-up to Monday's blog post, which explored the trends away from election day voting at the federal level, and how those...
Podcast #72: Minor parties on the right
Ben is joined today by Ben Moffitt from the Australian Catholic University to talk about right-wing minor parties and their role in the federal...
The shift towards early voting
There has been a long term trend in Australian politics of voters shifting away from casting a ballot on election day, in favour of...