Guide for next Saturday’s Tasmanian upper house elections
Tasmania's upper house holds elections every year in May, with two or three out of the 15 electorates up for election each year, over...
Will larger ballot papers drive up informal voting?
This election will see a record number of candidates on the ballot paper for the House of Representatives, with 1203 candidates running, up from...
How much does the vote vary in each seat?
I was wondering recently about voting diversity within an electorate. I'm specifically talking about how much the vote varies from one booth to another...
What primary vote is too low for majority government?
I have seen a lot of commentary in the last week about the low polling position of both major parties, and whether that might...
Podcast #71: Records broken as nominations close
Ben is joined by Duncan McDonnell and Marija Taflaga to discuss the closing of nominations. We discuss numbers of women and Aboriginal candidates nominating...
Nominations close, 2022 edition
Nominations were declared for the federal election yesterday, and we now have the final official lists of candidates.
We've seen a record number of candidates...
Podcast #70: Rise of the independents
Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Stewart Jackson to discuss the rise of the Voices independents movement, and the Victorian seat of Casey.
This...
The declining major party vote
I've been focused recently on the longer historical trends which play out beyond the individual election cycle, or even beyond a single decade of...
Expanding the time frame on seat swings
In yesterday's post I explained my dataset of election results from 2004-2019 adjusted for 2022 boundaries. In today's post I use that data to...
Adjusting historic election results for boundary changes
If you've been reading my federal election guide, you would have noticed a new feature: a chart showing the two-party-preferred vote in that seat...