The state of play this morning
As my first post today I thought I would summarise the state of play in the House of Representatives.
As of last night I had called 141 seats as part of my analysis at the Guardian. This includes 72 Coalition seats and 63 Labor seats,...
Election day thread
Polls have just opened on the east coast in the 2019 Australian federal election. The handful of Australians who are yet to cast a pre-poll vote will be voting today in an election expected to be relatively close.
The latest polls have Labor in the...
Federal 2019 – the race in regional Victoria
In this post I'm looking at the 13 electorates that I have defined as "regional Victoria". This includes the major provincial cities of Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat, as well as the seats of Casey and La Trobe on the eastern edge of Melbourne (which...
Federal 2019 – the race in northern NSW
For this post I'm focusing on those parts of New South Wales to the north of Sydney, including the Hunter region. There are five Labor seats and six National seats in this region.
I've identified four seats worth discussing, below the fold.
Firstly there is the...
Pre-poll voting breaks record
As of the end of voting on Wednesday night, just over 3.5 million Australians had cast a vote via pre-poll. This broke the record of just over 3.2 million pre-poll votes which were cast in the entirety of the 2016 campaign.
Almost 500,000 people voted...
Federal 2019 – the race in Tasmania
There are five constitutionally-guaranteed seats in Tasmania. Four of these seats are held by Labor, while the fifth is held by independent MP Andrew Wilkie.
Labor came close to a wipe-out in 2013, losing the three northernmost seats to the Liberal Party, before winning them...
Federal 2019 – the race in regional Queensland
There are ten seats in Queensland outside of the south-eastern corner, including central and northern Queensland plus a handful of seats further inland. The Liberal National Party holds eight of these seats, along with one Labor and one seat held by Katter's Australian Party,...
Federal 2019 – what are your predictions?
We are now three days away from polls opening in the federal election, and I've seen a number of commenters posting their broader predictions about which seats they think will flip on Saturday, so I thought it was time to post a thread for...