Measuring the independents
One of the big stories of 2025 has been the rise of independents. There was a notable increase in the number of independents who...
Booth map of the day – Banks and Hughes
Today's booth map covers two neighbouring seats in southern Sydney, both of which flipped from Liberal to Labor in 2025.
The seat of Banks covers...
The Bradfield recount is on
The AEC finished the distribution of preferences for Bradfield late on Friday night, after a fascinating day that started with teal independent Nicolette Boele...
What can the booth results tell us about the Muslim vote?
For today's post I am looking at how the Muslim vote changed, using some techniques I've previously used to look at voters of Chinese...
Booth map of the day – Bean and Fremantle
Next up on booth map of the day, I'm looking at two seats that were previously considered safe Labor seats, but were very narrowly...
The Nationals dilemma
Yesterday, the Nationals announced that they would not be renewing the coalition with the Liberal Party following the 2025 federal election. This is unlikely...
Calwell distribution commences, with Moore off to a strong start
Thursday 8:55am - I should probably make one more post here with now that the AEC has finished their 2CP count. Labor's Basem Abdo...
Booth map of the day – mid-suburban Sydney
For today I've got two maps, covering five seats in mid-suburban Sydney. While these seats are adjacent to each other, I'm keeping them as...
Bradfield headed for recount, with Boele in the lead
The two-candidate-preferred count in Bradfield has finished, with teal independent Nicolette Boele finally taking the lead right at the end, thanks to a very...
Booth map of the day – Calwell
For today's booth map of the day I've gone to Calwell, the most complex seat of 2025. This booth map shows the primary vote...