What’s the historical evidence for sophomore surge?
I have referenced the concept of "personal vote" and "sophomore surge" quite a few times during this campaign, and in the past, but I...
Button pushed for WA upper house
Over five weeks after the state election was held, the WA Electoral Commission has finally concluded the counting procedure for the WA Legislative Council,...
Podcast #145: Enrolments hit a record high
Ben is joined by Duncan McDonnell from Griffith University to discuss the close of rolls and nominations and the role of Gen Z voters...
The role of preferences in the two-party race
Australia has used preferential voting for over one hundred years, and in that time the party system has changed quite a bit. Since the...
Nominations declared – the statistical wrap-up
Nominations were declared at midday yesterday across Australia, but it took all afternoon to slowly get a sense of the candidate figures. I hope...
Candidate nominations live blog
7:16 - I'm going to end this live blog here and come back tomorrow morning with a summary of the candidate numbers.
One Nation has...
Podcast #144: Will the Greens hold their own?
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Phoebe Hayman to discuss the role of the Greens in the federal election: the seats they are...
How the map changed from 2007 to 2022
From one election to the next, the swings back and forth of Australian politics can look cyclical - that things start and end in...
The declining two party system in federal politics
Australian politics today is very different to what it was even ten years ago, but the shift in the partisan make-up of the country...
How do the independent seats lean?
With a hung parliament looking very likely at the upcoming federal election, there has been quite a lot of looking back at the last...