Early Tasmanian election?

Speculation is rife that the Tasmanian premier, Peter Gutwein, will call an early election as early as today for Saturday, May 1. This is...

Victorian and WA federal redistributions live

6:13pm - Okay I am now signing off. As previously discussed, every seat has stayed in the hands of the party that already held it....

WA 2021 – results update

We're now six days past the Western Australian state election, and the picture has become clearer in both houses. I thought I'd run through...

WA 2021 – the state of the upper house (part two)

As a follow-up to yesterday's post, I've gone through the last two regions. Labor has won four seats in South Metropolitan (along with one Liberal)...

Podcast #50: The day after the WA election

Ben is joined by William Bowe of the Poll Bludger to discuss Labor's massive landslide victory in yesterday's Western Australian state election, including running...

WA 2021 – the state of the upper house (part one)

In this post I run through the current state of the estimated preference distributions for four of the six upper house regions. I've run...

WA 2021 – the lower house result

The result in the lower house in yesterday's Western Australian state election was overwhelming and shows how the single-member voting system can produce massive...

WA 2021 – election night

4:38am - That's it for this liveblog. I'll be back later today with more considered and extensive analysis. Thanks for following along. 4:36am - About one...

WA 2021 – election day

It's now 8am in Western Australia, and polls have just opened for election day. We're expecting a record low proportion of Western Australian voters...

WA 2021 – what’s your guess?

Election day is tomorrow in Western Australia. We haven't had any more proper polling since the Newspoll three weeks ago which gave Labor 68% of...