Podcast #68: Polling and the federal election


Ben is joined by Peter Lewis from the Essential Poll to talk about the current state of polling in the lead up to the federal election, and to discuss the federal seat of Page.

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  1. Great talk. Gives some background on the changes polsters have introduced. Also, interesting near the end of the tongue with “we”. I think we all know that Guardian leans to the left but for their polster to use “we” when describing Labor is worth noting.

  2. I’m a bit perplexed by Peter Lewis embracing the fallacy that oppositions can only win in landslides.

    I think that’s a mistake that gets made because all changes of federal government in living memory have been landslides. But there’s no reason why this must be so. At state level, we see oppositions winning close elections all the time.


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