Correcting some of the 2CP swings
Prior to the election, I drew attention to the differences between my calculations and those of the AEC for a number of non-classic seats...
Turnout is up, and election day is down
We are now getting to the point in the election count where all of the primary votes appear to have been counted. We don't...
Observations from the Bradfield recount
I had the opportunity today to visit the Bradfield recount, thanks to being appointed as a scrutineer. I did not attempt to challenge any...
Breaking down the informal vote
The vote count is now getting to a point where pretty much all primary votes have been counted, even if we don't have all...
Senate button pushes – live blog
Friday 2:47pm - The distribution of preferences has been published in New South Wales, and here is the last three rounds. In the third-last...
Measuring the independents
One of the big stories of 2025 has been the rise of independents. There was a notable increase in the number of independents who...
Booth map of the day – Banks and Hughes
Today's booth map covers two neighbouring seats in southern Sydney, both of which flipped from Liberal to Labor in 2025.
The seat of Banks covers...
The Bradfield recount is on
The AEC finished the distribution of preferences for Bradfield late on Friday night, after a fascinating day that started with teal independent Nicolette Boele...
What can the booth results tell us about the Muslim vote?
For today's post I am looking at how the Muslim vote changed, using some techniques I've previously used to look at voters of Chinese...
Booth map of the day – Bean and Fremantle
Next up on booth map of the day, I'm looking at two seats that were previously considered safe Labor seats, but were very narrowly...