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A lot of local anger at REZs, the volunteer services levy and the state of the roads in these parts, the works on Ballarat station raising eyebrows too, definitely on the target list for the Coalition and I’ve heard at least 1 or 2 promising candidates have come forward for pre-selection
This is another of those seats that the LNP must win if they wish to from majority.
SpaceFish, it is going to be towards the upper end of their targets if they’re aiming for a majority.
Also, Prahran will likely flip. After the Bendigo federal election result and Werribee by-election, it could be unpredictable and could swing more than the average in metro Melbourne.
Yes. I’m certain they should put in a good show here. I can see them winning the 8 marginals. Eureka, Asswood and Sunbury. That gets them to 39. They then need to find 6 more seats.
Given the state of the polls I can’t see that happening.
Myrniong based Emma Muir is the Liberal candidate for this seat. She was named Moorabool shire citizen of the year in 2024 and has campaigned against the Western Renewables Link.
I’m not sure how big the swing will be to the Libs in the Ballarat booths, the seat takes in some inner suburbs of Ballarat . I’m predicting the One nation vote will be high in Ballan and Bacchus Marsh and the towns closer to Geelong.
In rural areas, there seems to be an interesting trend where voting patterns of each towns tends to be all over the place such as Rokewood votes strongly for Liberal but just 10km North, the town Dereel votes strongly for Labor.
Have been seeing some ONP campaigning trying to wedge the Coalition on the Ausnet towers/WRL issue so interesting to see if Muir’s selection can dent some of their impact on this race