ALP 4.3%
Incumbent MP
Lauren Kathage, since 2022.
Geography
Northern fringe of Melbourne. Yan Yean covers Yarrambat, Laurimar, Mernda, Whittlesea, Wandong and Wollert in Whittlesea, Nillumbik and Mitchell council areas.
History
Yan Yean was first created in 1992, and has always been held by the ALP.
The seat was first won in 1992 by Andre Haermeyer. He held the seat at the 1996 and 1999 elections, before moving to the safer seat of Kororoit in 2002. He resigned from Parliament in 2008.
In 2002, a redistribution made Yan Yean a notionally Liberal seat, and the ALP preselected Danielle Green, who managed to hold on to the seat. Green was re-elected four times, and retired in 2022.
Labor’s Lauren Kathage won Yan Yean in 2022.
Assessment
This section will be filled in closer to the election.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Lauren Kathage | Labor | 16,328 | 41.4 | -14.5 |
| Richard Welch | Liberal | 13,361 | 33.9 | +6.2 |
| Samantha Mason | Greens | 2,537 | 6.4 | +1.1 |
| Jack Wooldridge | Democratic Labour | 2,028 | 5.1 | +1.6 |
| James Hall | Family First | 1,284 | 3.3 | +3.3 |
| Ruth Parramore | Animal Justice | 1,043 | 2.6 | +2.4 |
| Alexandar Krstic | Shooters, Fishers and Farmers | 1,024 | 2.6 | -1.1 |
| Con Bouroutzis | Freedom Party | 1,021 | 2.6 | +2.6 |
| Mandy Anne Grimley | Hinch’s Justice | 793 | 2.0 | +2.0 |
| Informal | 2,475 | 5.9 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Lauren Kathage | Labor | 21,390 | 54.3 | -12.7 |
| Richard Welch | Liberal | 18,025 | 45.7 | +12.7 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of the three areas, with 51.4% in the north and 57.2% in the centre. The Liberal Party polled 57.8% in the south.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Central | 57.2 | 9,608 | 24.3 |
| North | 51.4 | 1,970 | 5.0 |
| South | 42.2 | 1,683 | 4.3 |
| Pre-poll | 54.5 | 18,448 | 46.7 |
| Other votes | 54.2 | 7,822 | 19.8 |
Election results in Yan Yean at the 2022 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
Under the subtitle Geography there are two spelling errors – Mernda has one r and Wollert has an e not an a.
It makes the story a tad more professional when the spelling is correct.
Geography
Northern fringe of Melbourne. Yan Yean covers Yarrambat, Laurimar, Merrnda, Whittlesea, Wandong and Wollart in Whittlesea, Nillumbik and Mitchell council areas.
This is a seat where Urbanisation always helps Labor. Redistributions make it Liberal friendly by removing the Southern urbanised parts but remaning areas become urbanised so Labor builds up the margin between elections. The issue for the Libs is that Yarrambat/Plenty maybe removed by 2030 and these areas are not growing. If that happens then Libs only have one chance in 2026 to win it. This seat keeps shrinking in area each redistribution.