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Labor hold, Adding Keysborough into this electorate has really hurt Liberals chances of winning here also the population growth in Keysborough won’t help the Liberals either.
I don’t see the Liberals regaining Mordialloc nor Carrum like they did in 2010. They’re solidified for Labor and are fairly progressive (to varying degrees).
Did you mean to include Keysborough Gardens in Aspendale group?
Ah yes, I have fixed it now.
Some level crossings were removed today in this seat and a new station open at Mordiallic. While i expect there to be a swing here especially among Fiscal Conservatives i still expect Labor to retain this but will become a marginal seat once again maybe 5% swing to Labor.