You tell me which seats to profile…

Now that the elections of March are mostly concluded, I've shifted my focus to my guides to the federal election and the state elections in Victoria and New South Wales. There won't be many elections in the next few months, so the front page of...

Tasmanian upper house guides posted

Tasmania's Legislative Council is elected by a unique voting system, with a small proportion of the fifteen seats up for election every year, with the entire state voting over the course of a six-year cycle. This voting system tends to favour local independents over the...

What happened to SA Best?

This is quite a long analysis of the SA Best performance at yesterday's state election. If you stick with it I've included a chart comparing SA Best to the Nick Xenophon Team in 2016, and at the end there's a map! Enjoy. Expectations were very...

SA election – Liberals win government in status quo result

There's been a lot of chatter about SA Best and their impact on the SA election, and I will return to them in my next post, but I wanted to focus here on the actual result. The overall result saw a change of government,...

Batman 2018 – the map tells the story

I love a good electoral map, that can tell a story about how a seat's population votes in different ways and how the balance of those communities decides who wins an election. Batman has produced a fascinating map at recent elections, with the Greens...

Batman/SA election night live

Batman by-election results Candidate Party Primary Primary % Swing 2PP votes 2PP % 2PP Swing Yvonne Gentle Rise Up Australia 1895 2.56 2.56 Ged Kearney Labor 31226 42.22 8.01 39483 53.38 2.1 Alex Bhathal Greens 30470 41.19 5.57 34483 46.62 -2.1 Kevin Bailey Conservatives 4724 6.39 6.39 Tegan Burns People's Party 358 0.48 0.48 Debbie Robinson Liberty Alliance 957 1.29 1.29 Teresa Van Lieshout Independent 875 1.18 1.18 Adrian Whitehead Independent 617 0.83 0.83 Mark McDonald Sustainable Australia 737 1 1 Miranda Smith Animal Justice 2107 2.85 1.42 Primary booths reporting: 44/52 2CP booths reporting: 44/52 Last updated at: 23:06 11:23pm - As for South Australia, the Liberal Party has won government,...

Super saturday – election day thread

Polls have now opened in the South Australian state election and the federal Batman by-election, and will be opening in the state by-election in Cottesloe within the next half-hour. This post is mostly to provide a place to discuss today's events, but I did want...

Tasmanian election – count update

We are now entering the final stages of the Tasmanian election's preference distributions. After all votes were collected, preferences began to be distributed yesterday, with substantial progress yesterday and today. Kevin Bonham has been doing a great job of tracking the preference distributions in his...

Tasmanian election – booth results maps

So we finally have booth breakdowns of the Tasmanian election results - and for the first time these have been published as spreadsheets (rather than PDFs or image files) which made it much easier to analyse. And they have also finally published the list...

Tasmanian election – close seats

My estimate at the end of Saturday night was that the Liberal Party had won 13 seats, Labor 8 and the Greens one, with three seats still in play: in Bass, Braddon and Franklin. I don't plan to follow these counts in minute detail but...