WA 2021 – what’s your guess?
Election day is tomorrow in Western Australia.
We haven't had any more proper polling since the Newspoll three weeks ago which gave Labor 68% of the two-party-preferred vote. Overall, we haven't had much polling for this election. It's quite likely that 68% poll is an...
Thinking of voting below the line?
Western Australia is the last place in Australia where the voting system strongly pushes voters into casting a vote which hands total control of preferences over to the party who receives that vote, by imposing voting rules that make it difficult to break out.
Prior...
WA 2021 – the not-so-level playing field for the upper house
Australia has a long history of electoral systems that slant the playing field in favour of particular ideological positions, favouring certain voters over others. Limiting the vote to people with property was common in the mid-19th century, and survived in some upper houses well...
Podcast #49: WA election update
We return to the WA election today, with Ben joined by the ABC's Jacob Kagi and the University of Sydney's Stewart Jackson, who discuss the campaign and what to look out for on election night.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on...
WA 2021 – the shape of the swing
By now we all know to expect a landslide victory for WA Labor in this month's state election. The polls predict it, and even the Liberal leader has acknowledged it.
But I want to put what might happen in context by looking at what happened...
WA 2021 – the impact of the redistribution
Western Australia conducts redistributions of the state electoral boundaries every four years, so each election sees a new set of electoral boundaries.
The recent redistribution did not see any dramatic changes in seats. We did not see a rural seat abolished and replaced by a...
WA 2021 – early voting opens
Early voting will open on Wednesday in the Western Australian state election, with pre-poll voting open for the better part of three weeks.
Over the last year we have seen radical changes in the way people choose to cast their ballots amidst the Covid-19 pandemic....
Podcast #48: introduction to the WA election
We're back for 2021, and on this week's podcast Ben is joined by Christine Cunningham and Martin Drum to get us up to speed on Western Australian state politics and the early stages of the campaign for March's state election.
This podcast is supported by...
Queensland 2020 – new data showing change in method of voting
I spent some time over the summer compiling new datasets for some of the elections held in 2020. At the moment I have published the data for the Queensland and ACT elections as well as a dataset containing results from Queensland state by-elections from...
WA 2021 – upper house preferences released
Western Australia's upper house still uses the discredited group voting ticket system to distribute preferences, the same system last used for the Senate in 2013. This system has encouraged a proliferation of candidates and parties running in the upper house election, breaking the record...