What sort of swing could produce a hung parliament?
On election day I published a blog post looking at how the crossbench had been expanding over time and how that had largely eliminated...
Changing voting patterns slow down declaration of seats
Most people who read this website would have a reasonably good sense of the formal process of counting ballots: the counting of a primary...
Podcast #76: Federal election wrap-up
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to wrap up the 2022 federal election. We discuss the undecided Senate races, the...
Is the Coalition one party, two parties or four parties?
There's been a lot of chatter online in the last few days challenging calculations about the low primary vote for the newly-elected Labor government,...
How might an election have played out under PR?
On Wednesday I published a blog post arguing that the House of Representatives electoral system needs to change to proportional representation, but I stayed...
Time to talk about PR
There's been a lot of chatter about the low primary vote for the major parties, and Labor in particular polling their lowest primary vote...
Defining and mapping the teal vote
There has been a lot of talk about the "teal vote" at this last election, identifying a movement of independents almost like a party,...
The Coalition’s potential paths back to power
Since the election, there have been numerous arguments from right-wing Liberal Party figures that the party should give up on winning back the inner...
Metropolitan Australia in power
This isn't the first time I've discussed the significant shift away from the Coalition in urban Australia, but in today's post I wanted to...
Tasmania moves to expand lower house
The new Tasmanian premier, Jeremy Rockliff, announced on Wednesday that the government will proceed with long-discussed plans to expand the size of the House...