The three Wentworths
When I produce seat guides, I always like to split up the polling places in the electorate into a number of subareas. I find that there are times where you want a sense of the different parts of the seat, but the granular detail of polling places can confuse the broader trends.
Sometimes these subareas represent very clear and distinct divisions in a community, while sometimes they're more arbitrary. But I think my breakdown of Wentworth reflects some pretty strong differences within the seat which I think will play out on October 20.
New by-elections datasets available
I've just added a bunch of extra data to my collection, covering all of the recent by-elections.
By-election data can often be even more scattered...
Podcast #9 – Wentworth and Victoria
Ben is joined by William Bowe and Georgia Tkachuk to discuss the Wentworth by-election and to begin discussing the Victorian state election.
Ben's analysis...
Here’s the complete Victorian election guide
I've finished posting the Victorian state election guide today, with all of the remaining seats available on the website now.
Check out the guide
You can...
Vic 2018 – first draft of the candidate list
I've been trickling out seat guides for the Victorian election gradually for the last while. I've now posted 53 out of 88 lower house...
Wentworth by-election nominations day
Nominations will be declared at midday today for the Wentworth by-election. I'm going to drop by the ballot draw in Sydney and will update...
New dataset for website donors
I've just finished a big project pulling together a bunch of election data, which is part of a new benefit for people who donate...
Podcast #8 – Wagga Wagga results and Banks
I'm joined by Ben Spies-Butcher and Amanda McCormack to discuss the Wagga Wagga by-election, the state of NSW politics six months before the state...
Wagga Wagga – results wash-up
Last night's result was extremely bad for the Liberal Party. We won't know who has won for sure for a few days or even...
Wagga Wagga by-election live
Primary votes
Candidate
Votes
%
Swing
Seb McDonagh (SFF)
4456
10.0
10.0
Julia Ham (LIB)
11207
25.1
-28.5
Joe McGirr (IND)
11450
25.6
25.6
Ray Goodlass (GRN)
1285
2.9
-1.8
Tom Arentz (CDP)
853
1.9
-0.4
Paul Funnell (IND)
4834
10.8
0.9
Dan Hayes (ALP)
10642
23.8
-4.7
Two-party-preferred votes
Candidate
Votes
%
Swing
Julia Ham (LIB)
11185
47.7
-14.8
Dan Hayes (ALP)
12270
52.3
14.8
Exhausted
6500
12:11 - Okay, not...