Maps Archive

New Zealand election maps updated

Moving on from the Australian federal election, I have gone through my New Zealand election map and clarified the boundaries to ensure they are as accurate as possible.

While doing this, I have produced time-series maps for the general electorates and the Māori electorates. Each file includes the national map for both the candidate and party vote at the 2008 and 2011 elections, which you can toggle.

The electoral boundary review for the 2014-2017 elections will announce the number of general and Māori electorates, with the electorates to be redrawn over the next few months. The draft boundaries will be released in November, with the final maps released in April.

Under New Zealand law, the South Island is guaranteed 16 general electorates. A quota is struck as the general electoral population of South Island divided by 16, which is used to determine the number of Māori electorates and the number of general North Island electorates.

You can read more about the redistribution process here.

German map follow-up

I’ve finally finished my post-election maps for Germany, for those who may be interested.

I have updated the maps for the 2013 election on the Maps page to reflect the ‘first vote’ results in each constituency. I have also added a map for the 2005 election. I am missing maps for the four Lander that changed boundaries between 2005 and 2009. If you have any data you can share to help with this, please let me know.

I have also added a German time-series map that has the results of the last three federal elections, both first vote and second vote. You can toggle between all six of these maps to see the changes in the election results over the last eight years.

German election coming up this Sunday

Just a quick post to let people know that the next major election will be the German federal election, to be held this Sunday 22 September.

Due to the Australian federal election, I haven’t had time to engage in this campaign, but polling suggests a collapse in support for the junior government party Free Democratic Party, a decline for the Left Party and an increase for the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats.

You can download the German federal constituency maps for 2009 and 2013 on the Tally Room maps page.

Sydney results broken down

The results from Saturday’s Sydney state by-election were decisive. It was a clear victory for independent candidate Alex Greenwich, and for Clover Moore’s political machine that supported his campaign.

The result was a slap in the face to the Liberal Party, who passed legislation forcing Clover Moore out of state Parliament and who ran a serious campaign to gain the seat after coming close to winning Sydney in 2011.

The result was a modest but positive result for the Greens, who increased their vote but were pushed aside by a strong progressive independent, as they have been in Sydney in state and local elections for the last decade.

There are numerous ways to interpret these results. Alex Greenwich gained a 12.2% swing on primary votes and an 11.8% swing on two-candidate-preferred votes, compared to Clover Moore in 2011. Is this a judgement that voters preferred a new independent to Clover? Are they voting for Greenwich as a surrogate for his mentor, or is it a signal to the Liberals that voters didn’t appreciate Clover being removed mid-term and an unnecessary by-election being forced upon them? It’s likely a combination of those things.

Certainly the swings towards Greenwich and the Greens are greater than they would have been if the ALP had stood, but the absence of the ALP doesn’t explain the swing against the Liberals. Collectively the Greens and the independent gained a swing of 17.2% on primary votes, substantially more than the 11.3% vote recorded by the ALP. It’s also worth remembering that not all Labor voters would have cast a ballot for one of the other progressive candidates.

You can also compare like with like by looking at the 2CP vote, which was between a Liberal and an independent in both 2011 and 2012. After Clover Moore held on with a slim margin of 3.1% in 2011, this margin has now been expanded to 14.9%.

The real test now will be how Greenwich performs. There is a history of retiring independents successfully transferring their seat to a chosen successor for one term, but for their successors to be less capable of holding onto the seat in the long run. Now that Greenwich is the Member for Sydney he will be judged on his own agenda and his own achievements. Clover Moore isn’t going anywhere, but will Greenwich be able to win future terms in Parliament as the ‘Clover Moore party’ candidate?

After the fold I have posted some detailed breakdowns of vote by geographic areas, and maps.

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Exploring the history of local government

Last weekend I was at the Marrickville Festival and ended up chatting with one of the members of the local heritage society. For a while I’ve been fascinated by all of the old local councils that used to exist in Sydney prior to the Labor government’s massive round of amalgamations in 1948/9.

The Marrickville council area used to be covered by Marrickville, St Peters and Petersham councils, and part of the modern LGA was also covered by Newtown municipality.

Similar stories have taken place in other areas. The City of Sydney absorbed at least eight other local councils in 1948/9, in addition to Camperdown municipality forty years earlier.

The local heritage society gave me a name for an old company of mapmakers who made maps of local government boundaries (including ward boundaries) in the 1880s.

The City of Sydney archives has a copy of most of the Higinbotham and Robinson maps available online.

They are quite fascinating for anyone interested in local government and the political and demographic evolution of Sydney over the last 150 years.

Some of these councils largely reflect modern boundaries – Kogarah, Waverley and Randwick appear to have not changed at all, and North Sydney and Mosman were created in their modern form around 1890 out of the former St Leonards council.

At some point in the future I am interested in making maps of Sydney showing the evolution of Sydney’s local government boundaries over the past 120 years. I wouldn’t try and do this for all of NSW, but it is probably achievable to do this for the Sydney area.

In the meantime, go and have a look at these maps – they are fascinating for anyone interested in the history of Sydney or political geography more generally.

NT election map updated

Others have more thoroughly covered the NT election results elsewhere. In short, the Country Liberal Party has won government entirely by winning Labor seats in remote parts of the Northern Territory, while the ALP has retained all eight of their seats in Darwin.

The CLP has gained the seats of Arnhem and Daly off the ALP, and is leading the count to gain the seats of Arafura and Stuart.

This surprise result can be analysed by others, but I’ve uploaded a new version of the NT Legislative Assembly electoral map to be used in Google Earth.

Map of NT Legislative Assembly electoral districts. Labor in red, CLP seats won in 2008 in darker blue, CLP seats won off Labor in 2012 in light blue, undecided in white.

New guides to upcoming by-elections

I have just posted two new guides for two by-elections expected in the next few months.

A by-election will be held soon in the state seat of Melbourne following the resignation of Labor MP Bronwyn Pike. The race is expected to be a head-to-head contest between Labor and the Greens.

A by-election is expected for the state seat of Sydney later in the year after legislation was passed prohibiting state MPs from running for council. The law was universally considered to be targeted at Clover Moore, the independent Lord Mayor of Sydney and local state MP. She will need to resign from Parliament in order to run for a third term as Lord Mayor in September. Her seat will likely be a contest between the Liberal Party and the Greens, although another independent or Labor candidate could also be a contender.

I have also recently completed the Google Earth map of Victorian wards, updated for the 2012 local government elections. A number of councils have changed their ward boundaries since the 2008 election map was produced.

Apart from updating those two by-election profiles, I don’t plan to post any more on the blog over the next few months. I’ve just started a new role that will occupy most of my spare time until the NSW council elections in September. In my spare time I have started working on maps for the 2013 federal election guide. If I have time I will also be covering the elections in the ACT and the Northern Territory, but most of the time will be spent getting the federal guide ready.

Introducing my time-series maps

I’ve been making and posting my Google Earth electoral maps on my blog since day one, and I have now got quite a large collection posted. These include national electoral maps for the United Kingdom, United States, Australia, New Zealand, Canada and Ireland, as well as subnational maps in Australian and the UK.

Some of my maps now cover up to four elections for the same jurisdiction. In order to view these in an interesting and simple way, I’ve developed a format which allows you to quickly flick between different maps for the same area, while holding to the same position on the map.

I’ve produced a number of these time-series maps, including state maps for New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and South Australia, and national maps for Australia, Canada and the United Kingdom.

You can access them through a new page dedicated to time-series maps.

The following images show you how these maps are designed to work, in this case using the example of the Victorian state elections from 2002 to 2010.

Click to enlarge each image to its full size.

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Newly updated maps

I have gone through all of my Google Earth maps available for download from the blog for 2010 federal election boundaries, and updated the colours to the latest election results, assuming that seats in doubt such as Brisbane and Hasluck do not change hands.

I have also decided to colour all Liberal National seats in Queensland as blue, rather than attempting to distinguish between which party they will be representing in Canberra, due to the fact that the LNP is running under a single banner. Below I’ve posted the overall maps of seat results in the areas around Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.

You can download these maps and manipulate them yourself by visiting the Tally Room maps page.

Sydney and surrounds.

Melbourne and surrounds.

Brisbane and surrounds.

Maps of federal MPs by gender

A year ago I made a map where I colour-coded seats in the NSW parliament according to gender. With the rise of our first female Prime Minister, and the impending federal election, I figured it would be worth making a similar map for federal electorates.

After the fold, I have maps showing the gender of each federal MP after the last federal election.

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