To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Unlock with Patreon
Liberal loss, to who I’m not sure at the moment but either the independent or Labor.
SpaceFish, Liberals won’t lose Hawthorn to the ALP and only Rob Baillieu would be a real threat to Presutto.
I agree with Pencil
Labor is less popular especially with Fiscal conservatives. There will also be backlash for Private School Payroll tax/Land Tax among nuclear families So Teals are a viable alternative.
With respect pencil the demographic trend is not in the Liberals favour plus the recent law to protect work from home really benefits a lot of this electorate. If Melissa Lowe were to run again or some sort of high profile Labor member then I could seem pealing this seat off Presutto plus likely he’ll retire in 2026.
Pesutto is unelectable.
Other issue is Labor should focus on its heartland and try and add red bricks to the Red Wall. Otherwise the Labor party will just become like the Democrats or the Teals socially progressive but economically agnostic. They need to protect seats like Sydenham, Werribee, Melton, Sunbury and Niddrie so cant afford to waste resources.
Further to my point, Labor had little interest to hold Hawthorn in 2022 eventhough they had a sitting MP. They quite rightly cared more about Bayswater than this seat as Bayswater is middle Australia.
SpaceFish, Presutto has said he will be recontesting, and the demographics are more likely to favor the Teals ahead of the ALP, and Rob Baillieu is a stronger candidate than Melissa Love, due to his council ward covering a large part of Hawthorn, and he has a higher profile amongst the more middle class parts of Hawthorn and Camberwell. The ALP scored a few points for their WFH laws, however there is opposition to the Private School Payroll tax, changes to land Tax, rising crime and deteriorating roads, and that could also work against Rob Baillieu, as he is a local councilor, and then there is the Camberwell Activity Centre, and that will make planning a big issue.
Nimalan, That’s the other thing, the ALP would be looking to protect its majority before looking to win new seats.