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This seat is one of the lowest hanging fruit for the Libs to pick up. Presumably if Wolahan contests again in 2028 it will one of the interesting seats to watch. Demographically similar seats swung big to Labor and Dutton would be immensely hated in a seat like this so it is a good result for the Libs to significantly blunt the swing. The large and rapidly growing Chinese community in this seat will be the key for the Libs to win back the seat. That being said much of the electorate has never been represented by Labor before so if they put some proper effort in sandbagging and the Libs continue alienating ethnic Chinese voters then Labor could dig in and hold on. Ng will be praying that Hastie replaces Ley and takes the Libs to the polls. Even if the Libs win this seat back, the days of margins from the Kevin Andrews days are over.
That due to the blundaries shifting into more favourable labor territory. Wolahan would have held on 2022 boundaries. There a below average swing here. If the liberals didnt crash and burn Wolahan probably would have held on.