The Tally Room

I have now finished the first part of my Tasmanian election guide, with profiles posted for all five House of Assembly electorates. These guides feature maps of the 2018 results, tables showing the results broken down by each part of the seat, a history of...

Speculation is rife that the Tasmanian premier, Peter Gutwein, will call an early election as early as today for Saturday, May 1. This is about a year before the election needs to be held, and ten months before the four-year anniversary of the last...

6:13pm - Okay I am now signing off. As previously discussed, every seat has stayed in the hands of the party that already held it. The Liberal seat of Stirling has been abolished and the Labor seat of Hawke has been created with a 10.2%...

We're now six days past the Western Australian state election, and the picture has become clearer in both houses. I thought I'd run through the state of play as of Thursday evening. In the Legislative Assembly, just one seat is still in play: Churchlands in...

As a follow-up to yesterday's post, I've gone through the last two regions. Labor has won four seats in South Metropolitan (along with one Liberal) and their preferences are pushing the Greens over the top for the fifth seat, but only by a slim margin...

Ben is joined by William Bowe of the Poll Bludger to discuss Labor's massive landslide victory in yesterday's Western Australian state election, including running through each of the six upper house contests. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you...

In this post I run through the current state of the estimated preference distributions for four of the six upper house regions. I've run out of time to analyse the last two (South Metropolitan and South West) before my podcast recording timeslot so I...

The result in the lower house in yesterday's Western Australian state election was overwhelming and shows how the single-member voting system can produce massive lopsided majorities when a party wins big. Based on the final results at the end of last night, Labor polled over...

4:38am - That's it for this liveblog. I'll be back later today with more considered and extensive analysis. Thanks for following along. 4:36am - About one third of the vote has been counted for the upper house so far. I assume this is the vote cast...

It's now 8am in Western Australia, and polls have just opened for election day. We're expecting a record low proportion of Western Australian voters casting their vote on election day, thanks to record numbers of pre-poll and postal votes. As of the end of Thursday,...