Pendulum – Australia 2019

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates to be contested at the 2019 federal election, ordered according to two-candidate-preferred margin.

Coalition Seats Labor Seats
Seat Margin Seat Margin
Corangamite (VIC) LIB 0.02% Herbert (QLD) ALP 0.02%
Capricornia (QLD) LNP 0.6% Cooper (VIC) ALP 0.6% vs GRN
Forde (QLD) LNP 0.6% Cowan (WA) ALP 0.7%
Gilmore (NSW) LIB 0.7% Longman (QLD) ALP 0.8%
Flynn (QLD) LNP 1.0% Dunkley (VIC) ALP 1.0%
Robertson (NSW) LIB 1.1% Lindsay (NSW) ALP 1.1%
Banks (NSW) LIB 1.4% Macnamara (VIC) ALP 1.2%
Petrie (QLD) LNP 1.6% Griffith (QLD) ALP 1.4%
Dickson (QLD) LNP 1.7% Braddon (TAS) ALP 1.7%
Grey (SA) LIB 1.9% vs NXT Macquarie (NSW) ALP 2.2%
Hasluck (WA) LIB 2.1% Eden-Monaro (NSW) ALP 2.9%
Page (NSW) NAT 2.3% Isaacs (VIC) ALP 3.0%
Boothby (SA) LIB 2.7% Perth (WA) ALP 3.3%
Chisholm (VIC) LIB 2.9% Lyons (TAS) ALP 3.8%
La Trobe (VIC) LIB 3.2% Bendigo (VIC) ALP 3.9%
Bonner (QLD) LNP 3.4% Moreton (QLD) ALP 4%
Dawson (QLD) LNP 3.4% Richmond (NSW) ALP 4%
Pearce (WA) LIB 3.6% Hotham (VIC) ALP 4.2%
Swan (WA) LIB 3.6% Dobell (NSW) ALP 4.8%
Leichhardt (QLD) LNP 3.9% Wills (VIC) ALP 4.9% vs GRN
Barker (SA) LIB 4.2% vs NXT Bass (TAS) ALP 5.4%
Casey (VIC) LIB 4.5% Jagajaga (VIC) ALP 5.6%
Cowper (NSW) NAT 4.6% vs IND Lilley (QLD) ALP 5.7%
Reid (NSW) LIB 4.7% McEwen (VIC) ALP 5.9%
Sturt (SA) LIB 5.4% Solomon (NT) ALP 6.1%
Brisbane (QLD) LNP 6.0% Greenway (NSW) ALP 6.3%
Stirling (WA) LIB 6.1% Burt (WA) ALP 7.1%
Deakin (VIC) LIB 6.4% Ballarat (VIC) ALP 7.4%
Canning (WA) LIB 6.8% Fremantle (WA) ALP 7.5%
Flinders (VIC) LIB 7.0% Parramatta (NSW) ALP 7.7%
Bowman (QLD) LNP 7.1% Blair (QLD) ALP 8.1%
Aston (VIC) LIB 7.4% Werriwa (NSW) ALP 8.2%
Monash (VIC) LIB 7.5% Lingiari (NT) ALP 8.2%
Higgins (VIC) LIB 7.6% vs GRN Barton (NSW) ALP 8.3%
Menzies (VIC) LIB 7.8% Macarthur (NSW) ALP 8.3%
Wide Bay (QLD) LNP 8.2% Adelaide (SA) ALP 8.3%
Hinkler (QLD) LNP 8.4% Corio (VIC) ALP 8.2%
New England (NSW) NAT 8.5% vs IND Hindmarsh (SA) ALP 8.4%
Ryan (QLD) LNP 9.0% Kingsford Smith (NSW) ALP 8.6%
Wannon (VIC) LIB 9.2% Bean (ACT) ALP 8.9%
Fisher (QLD) LNP 9.2% Oxley (QLD) ALP 9.0%
Hughes (NSW) LIB 9.3% Shortland (NSW) ALP 9.9%
Wright (QLD) LNP 9.6% Holt (VIC) ALP 10.0%
Bennelong (NSW) LIB 9.7% Maribyrnong (VIC) ALP 10.4%
Hume (NSW) LIB 10.2% Paterson (NSW) ALP 10.7%
Fairfax (QLD) LNP 10.9% Franklin (TAS) ALP 10.7%
Moore (WA) LIB 11.0% Makin (SA) ALP 10.8%
Tangney (WA) LIB 11.1% Rankin (QLD) ALP 11.3%
Durack (WA) LIB 11.1% Brand (WA) ALP 11.4%
Fadden (QLD) LNP 11.2% Fenner (ACT) ALP 11.8%
Warringah (NSW) LIB 11.6% vs GRN McMahon (NSW) ALP 12.1%
Lyne (NSW) NAT 11.6% Hunter (NSW) ALP 12.5%
McPherson (QLD) LNP 11.6% Canberra (ACT) ALP 12.9%
Calare (NSW) NAT 11.8% Cunningham (NSW) ALP 13.3%
Forrest (WA) LIB 12.6% Kingston (SA) ALP 13.5%
Goldstein (VIC) LIB 12.7% Whitlam (NSW) ALP 13.7%
Kooyong (VIC) LIB 12.8% Newcastle (NSW) ALP 13.8%
North Sydney (NSW) LIB 13.6% Bruce (VIC) ALP 14.0%
Moncrieff (QLD) LNP 14.6% Lalor (VIC) ALP 14.2%
O’Connor (WA) LIB 15.0% Gellibrand (VIC) ALP 15.1%
Parkes (NSW) NAT 15.1% Sydney (NSW) ALP 15.3%
Groom (QLD) LNP 15.3% Grayndler (NSW) ALP 15.8% vs GRN
Cook (NSW) LIB 15.4% Spence (SA) ALP 17.1%
Mackellar (NSW) LIB 15.7% Fowler (NSW) ALP 17.5%
Maranoa (QLD) LNP 15.9% vs ON Watson (NSW) ALP 17.6%
Berowra (NSW) LIB 16.4% Gorton (VIC) ALP 18.5%
Riverina (NSW) NAT 16.4% Chifley (NSW) ALP 19.2%
Mitchell (NSW) LIB 17.8% Blaxland (NSW) ALP 19.5%
Gippsland (VIC) NAT 18.2% Scullin (VIC) ALP 19.6%
Mallee (VIC) NAT 19.8% Calwell (VIC) ALP 19.8%
Farrer (NSW) LIB 20.5% Fraser (VIC) ALP 19.8%
Curtin (WA) LIB 20.7%
Bradfield (NSW) LIB 21.0% Wentworth (NSW) IND 1.2% vs LIB
Nicholls (VIC) NAT 22.2% Indi (VIC) IND 4.9% vs LIB
Mayo (SA) NXT 5.3% vs LIB
Kennedy (QLD) KAP 10.6% vs LNP
Clark (TAS) IND 17.8% vs ALP
Melbourne (VIC) GRN 18.5% vs LIB